CHIBears
1-1
31
TBD
Georgia Dome
70°F
03
ATLFalcons
2-1
TBD
Georgia Dome
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Bears
0
10
0
15
25
Falcons
0
0
0
3
3
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
300
335
Total Plays
52
61
Yards / Play
5.8
5.5
EPA / Play
+0.07
-0.46
Passing Yards
221
232
Comp/Att
18/27(67%)
19/30(63%)
Yards / Pass
8.2
7.7
EPA / Pass
+0.11
-0.77
Rushing Yards
79
103
Rush Attempts
24
25
Yards / Rush
3.3
4.1
EPA / Rush
-0.10
-0.12
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
15
19
Passing 1st downs
8
11
Rushing 1st downs
5
6
Penalty 1st downs
2
2
3rd Down %
36%
50%
3rd Down Conversions
4
6
3rd Down Attempts
11
12
Red Zone %
0%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
--
--
Red Zone Attempts
3
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
5
Interceptions
2
3
Fumbles
0
2
Turnover EPA
-8.82
-29.44
Sacks
1
6
Sack Yards
-9
-29
Sack EPA
-1.92
-18.57
Penalties
5
6
Penalty Yards
67
55
Penalty EPA
-4.17
-5.75
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
CHIBearsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Bears Offense vs Falcons Defense
Total
Points / Game
10
24
Yards / Game
27
30
Passing Yards / Game
30
26
Rushing Yards / Game
16
21
EPA
EPA / Play
18
26
EPA / Pass
23
30
EPA / Rush
15
23
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
27
2
Interceptions / Game
15
13
Fumbles / Game
2
27
Turnover EPA / Game
15
13
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
26
31
4th Down Efficiency
15
1
RZ Efficiency
18
29
Falcons Offense vs Bears Defense
Total
Points / Game
23
2
Yards / Game
14
14
Passing Yards / Game
8
28
Rushing Yards / Game
15
2
EPA
EPA / Play
19
3
EPA / Pass
20
7
EPA / Rush
14
3
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
13
31
Interceptions / Game
13
9
Fumbles / Game
20
3
Turnover EPA / Game
11
30
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
7
9
4th Down Efficiency
25
3
RZ Efficiency
26
12
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Bears
5-5
SU
5-4-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Falcons
3-7
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U