CHIBears
3-3
19
TBD
Ford Field
70°F
013
DETLions
3-3
TBD
Ford Field
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Bears
0
13
0
0
13
Lions
3
0
7
3
13
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
333
278
Total Plays
62
66
Yards / Play
5.4
4.2
EPA / Play
-0.04
-0.18
Passing Yards
218
185
Comp/Att
17/31(55%)
23/35(66%)
Yards / Pass
7.0
5.3
EPA / Pass
+0.18
-0.13
Rushing Yards
115
93
Rush Attempts
29
29
Yards / Rush
4.0
3.2
EPA / Rush
-0.34
-0.16
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
14
17
Passing 1st downs
11
9
Rushing 1st downs
3
4
Penalty 1st downs
--
4
3rd Down %
21%
29%
3rd Down Conversions
3
5
3rd Down Attempts
14
17
Red Zone %
33%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
1
1
Red Zone Attempts
3
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-4.36
-6.81
Sacks
2
2
Sack Yards
-12
-12
Sack EPA
-2.89
-2.91
Penalties
10
5
Penalty Yards
75
40
Penalty EPA
-9.55
-6.39
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
CHIBearsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Bears Offense vs Lions Defense
Total
Points / Game
26
21
Yards / Game
28
20
Passing Yards / Game
32
12
Rushing Yards / Game
9
24
EPA
EPA / Play
31
18
EPA / Pass
31
18
EPA / Rush
20
22
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
21
21
Interceptions / Game
13
7
Fumbles / Game
14
9
Turnover EPA / Game
26
22
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
31
20
4th Down Efficiency
17
21
RZ Efficiency
15
17
Lions Offense vs Bears Defense
Total
Points / Game
28
1
Yards / Game
27
4
Passing Yards / Game
21
11
Rushing Yards / Game
26
11
EPA
EPA / Play
29
1
EPA / Pass
28
1
EPA / Rush
17
4
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
8
20
Interceptions / Game
23
3
Fumbles / Game
12
22
Turnover EPA / Game
9
26
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
19
2
4th Down Efficiency
21
4
RZ Efficiency
15
1
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Bears
3-7
SU
4-5-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Lions
4-6
SU
6-3-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U