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  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. bears @ lions week 17, 2000

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

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nfelo

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CHI logo
CHIBears
4-11
23
TBD
Pontiac Silverdome
70°F
0
20
DETLions
9-6
DET logo
TBD
Pontiac Silverdome
70°F
0

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Bears
0
6
7
4
17
Lions
10
0
0
10
20

Game Statistics

General
Bears logo
Lions logo
Total Yards
286
240
Total Plays
56
67
Yards / Play
5.1
3.6
EPA / Play
-0.05
-0.12
Passing Yards
181
140
Comp/Att
19/29(66%)
19/36(53%)
Yards / Pass
6.2
3.9
EPA / Pass
+0.24
-0.42
Rushing Yards
105
100
Rush Attempts
26
26
Yards / Rush
4.0
3.8
EPA / Rush
-0.24
-0.00
Downs & Conversions
Bears logo
Lions logo
1st Downs
15
18
Passing 1st downs
8
11
Rushing 1st downs
7
6
Penalty 1st downs
--
1
3rd Down %
38%
43%
3rd Down Conversions
5
6
3rd Down Attempts
13
14
Red Zone %
0%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
--
2
Red Zone Attempts
1
3
Negative Plays
Bears logo
Lions logo
Turnovers
2
2
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
2
1
Turnover EPA
-10.09
-10.51
Sacks
1
5
Sack Yards
-2
-30
Sack EPA
-1.15
-6.07
Penalties
5
2
Penalty Yards
28
20
Penalty EPA
-7.63
-1.46

Preview data is limited for games before 2009

Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.

Model

Projected Winner
CHI logo
CHIBearsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A

Win Probability

MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--

Quarterbacks

Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available

Team Matchup Ranks

Bears Offense vs Lions Defense
Bears logo
Lions logo

Total

Points / Game
28
10
Yards / Game
24
14
Passing Yards / Game
23
12
Rushing Yards / Game
21
18

EPA

EPA / Play
26
3
EPA / Pass
27
7
EPA / Rush
18
17

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
10
5
Interceptions / Game
13
4
Fumbles / Game
20
5
Turnover EPA / Game
13
30

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
29
16
4th Down Efficiency
20
20
RZ Efficiency
25
23
Lions Offense vs Bears Defense
Lions logo
Bears logo

Total

Points / Game
22
18
Yards / Game
27
17
Passing Yards / Game
22
25
Rushing Yards / Game
19
19

EPA

EPA / Play
27
16
EPA / Pass
28
17
EPA / Rush
17
19

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
6
21
Interceptions / Game
20
27
Fumbles / Game
13
26
Turnover EPA / Game
9
7

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
28
13
4th Down Efficiency
18
29
RZ Efficiency
23
29

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

CHI logo

Bears

3-7
SU
4-5-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
10/08
-21
L
L
P
10/15
-12
L
L
P
10/22
-4
L
W
P
11/05
3
W
W
P
11/12
-17
L
L
P
11/19
3
W
W
P
11/26
-7
L
P
P
12/03
-22
L
L
P
12/10
7
W
W
P
12/17
-17
L
L
P
DET logo

Lions

6-4
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
10/08
7
W
W
P
10/19
14
W
W
P
10/29
-12
L
L
P
11/05
-15
L
L
P
11/12
3
W
L
P
11/19
10
W
W
P
11/23
25
W
W
P
11/30
-7
L
W
P
12/10
-13
L
L
P
12/17
3
W
W
P