CHIBears
5-7
21
TBD
Lambeau Field
35°F
16 mph
34
GBPackers
6-6
TBD
Lambeau Field
35°F
16 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Bears
8
0
0
7
15
Packers
0
13
6
9
28
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
275
309
Total Plays
63
72
Yards / Play
4.4
4.3
EPA / Play
-0.34
-0.13
Passing Yards
231
--
Comp/Att
17/40(43%)
22/34(65%)
Yards / Pass
5.8
--
EPA / Pass
-0.46
+0.00
Rushing Yards
44
97
Rush Attempts
20
38
Yards / Rush
2.2
2.6
EPA / Rush
-0.27
-0.30
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
13
17
Passing 1st downs
10
10
Rushing 1st downs
3
6
Penalty 1st downs
--
1
3rd Down %
29%
29%
3rd Down Conversions
5
5
3rd Down Attempts
17
17
Red Zone %
0%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
--
1
Red Zone Attempts
1
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
5
1
Interceptions
3
1
Fumbles
2
0
Turnover EPA
-22.85
-7.51
Sacks
3
--
Sack Yards
-25
--
Sack EPA
-6.92
--
Penalties
5
8
Penalty Yards
45
57
Penalty EPA
-5.21
-5.52
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
CHIBearsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Bears Offense vs Packers Defense
Total
Points / Game
22
10
Yards / Game
28
16
Passing Yards / Game
14
20
Rushing Yards / Game
18
11
EPA
EPA / Play
24
12
EPA / Pass
31
8
EPA / Rush
8
20
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
1
31
Interceptions / Game
25
11
Fumbles / Game
9
4
Turnover EPA / Game
17
24
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
24
10
4th Down Efficiency
2
3
RZ Efficiency
18
5
Packers Offense vs Bears Defense
Total
Points / Game
4
21
Yards / Game
4
14
Passing Yards / Game
30
5
Rushing Yards / Game
3
16
EPA
EPA / Play
3
20
EPA / Pass
6
19
EPA / Rush
6
18
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
26
4
Interceptions / Game
23
15
Fumbles / Game
5
32
Turnover EPA / Game
16
3
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
9
20
4th Down Efficiency
5
9
RZ Efficiency
2
16
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Bears
5-5
SU
7-3
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Packers
5-5
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U