CHIBears
10-4
24
TBD
Lambeau Field
34°F
6 mph
17
GBPackers
3-11
TBD
Lambeau Field
34°F
6 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Bears
7
7
4
0
18
Packers
0
7
0
4
11
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
292
365
Total Plays
57
74
Yards / Play
5.1
4.9
EPA / Play
-0.03
-0.16
Passing Yards
157
300
Comp/Att
11/23(48%)
30/51(59%)
Yards / Pass
6.8
5.9
EPA / Pass
+0.16
-0.17
Rushing Yards
135
65
Rush Attempts
33
21
Yards / Rush
4.1
3.1
EPA / Rush
-0.10
-0.02
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
16
24
Passing 1st downs
8
15
Rushing 1st downs
6
5
Penalty 1st downs
2
4
3rd Down %
38%
40%
3rd Down Conversions
5
6
3rd Down Attempts
13
15
Red Zone %
100%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
2
1
Red Zone Attempts
2
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
4
Interceptions
1
4
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-1.68
-9.19
Sacks
1
2
Sack Yards
-9
-17
Sack EPA
-1.35
-2.02
Penalties
8
9
Penalty Yards
55
69
Penalty EPA
-7.22
-13.40
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
CHIBearsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Bears Offense vs Packers Defense
Total
Points / Game
26
19
Yards / Game
28
6
Passing Yards / Game
32
1
Rushing Yards / Game
9
23
EPA
EPA / Play
31
15
EPA / Pass
31
12
EPA / Rush
20
11
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
21
27
Interceptions / Game
13
27
Fumbles / Game
14
19
Turnover EPA / Game
26
9
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
31
9
4th Down Efficiency
17
11
RZ Efficiency
15
21
Packers Offense vs Bears Defense
Total
Points / Game
21
1
Yards / Game
15
4
Passing Yards / Game
8
11
Rushing Yards / Game
30
11
EPA
EPA / Play
22
1
EPA / Pass
17
1
EPA / Rush
25
4
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
14
20
Interceptions / Game
32
3
Fumbles / Game
23
22
Turnover EPA / Game
1
26
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
8
2
4th Down Efficiency
14
4
RZ Efficiency
18
1
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Bears
9-1
SU
8-2
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Packers
3-7
SU
2-7-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U