CHIBears
9-1
13
TBD
Gillette Stadium
54°F
7 mph
17
NEPatriots
7-3
TBD
Gillette Stadium
54°F
7 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Bears
0
3
0
10
13
Patriots
0
10
0
7
17
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
324
354
Total Plays
71
67
Yards / Play
4.6
5.3
EPA / Play
-0.03
+0.00
Passing Yards
171
--
Comp/Att
15/34(44%)
22/33(67%)
Yards / Pass
5.0
--
EPA / Pass
-0.20
+0.19
Rushing Yards
153
85
Rush Attempts
36
34
Yards / Rush
4.3
2.5
EPA / Rush
-0.03
-0.29
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
21
20
Passing 1st downs
9
13
Rushing 1st downs
9
6
Penalty 1st downs
3
1
3rd Down %
44%
44%
3rd Down Conversions
7
7
3rd Down Attempts
16
16
Red Zone %
33%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
1
2
Red Zone Attempts
3
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
4
5
Interceptions
3
2
Fumbles
1
3
Turnover EPA
-13.14
-14.38
Sacks
1
--
Sack Yards
-5
--
Sack EPA
-1.12
--
Penalties
5
4
Penalty Yards
31
--
Penalty EPA
-1.93
--
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
CHIBearsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Bears Offense vs Patriots Defense
Total
Points / Game
2
2
Yards / Game
14
10
Passing Yards / Game
12
30
Rushing Yards / Game
12
5
EPA
EPA / Play
15
6
EPA / Pass
26
5
EPA / Rush
14
10
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
22
24
Interceptions / Game
27
4
Fumbles / Game
22
12
Turnover EPA / Game
4
25
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
25
10
4th Down Efficiency
4
2
RZ Efficiency
15
3
Patriots Offense vs Bears Defense
Total
Points / Game
5
3
Yards / Game
11
9
Passing Yards / Game
16
20
Rushing Yards / Game
14
9
EPA
EPA / Play
4
1
EPA / Pass
6
2
EPA / Rush
11
4
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
28
29
Interceptions / Game
10
3
Fumbles / Game
25
1
Turnover EPA / Game
27
31
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
7
3
4th Down Efficiency
1
12
RZ Efficiency
3
10
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Bears
9-1
SU
7-3
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Patriots
7-3
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U