CHIBears
4-3
20
TBD
Tiger Stadium (LSU)
85°F
017
NOSaints
2-6
TBD
Tiger Stadium (LSU)
85°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Bears
7
3
7
3
20
Saints
3
7
0
7
17
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
314
283
Total Plays
60
62
Yards / Play
5.2
4.6
EPA / Play
-0.10
-0.17
Passing Yards
131
150
Comp/Att
12/26(46%)
16/26(62%)
Yards / Pass
5.0
5.8
EPA / Pass
-0.42
-0.34
Rushing Yards
183
133
Rush Attempts
32
33
Yards / Rush
5.7
4.0
EPA / Rush
+0.06
-0.14
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
15
15
Passing 1st downs
6
6
Rushing 1st downs
7
8
Penalty 1st downs
2
1
3rd Down %
27%
47%
3rd Down Conversions
4
7
3rd Down Attempts
15
15
Red Zone %
40%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
2
2
Red Zone Attempts
5
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
4
Interceptions
2
2
Fumbles
1
2
Turnover EPA
-11.07
-16.63
Sacks
2
3
Sack Yards
-6
-20
Sack EPA
-6.34
-3.00
Penalties
8
6
Penalty Yards
60
70
Penalty EPA
-7.23
-6.98
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
CHIBearsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Bears Offense vs Saints Defense
Total
Points / Game
26
28
Yards / Game
28
15
Passing Yards / Game
32
3
Rushing Yards / Game
9
27
EPA
EPA / Play
31
28
EPA / Pass
31
27
EPA / Rush
20
27
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
21
13
Interceptions / Game
13
27
Fumbles / Game
14
23
Turnover EPA / Game
26
2
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
31
26
4th Down Efficiency
17
31
RZ Efficiency
15
12
Saints Offense vs Bears Defense
Total
Points / Game
31
1
Yards / Game
20
4
Passing Yards / Game
5
11
Rushing Yards / Game
18
11
EPA
EPA / Play
30
1
EPA / Pass
25
1
EPA / Rush
26
4
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
2
20
Interceptions / Game
30
3
Fumbles / Game
30
22
Turnover EPA / Game
2
26
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
18
2
4th Down Efficiency
32
4
RZ Efficiency
27
1
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Bears
4-6
SU
5-4-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Saints
4-6
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U