nfelo logo

nfelo

Live
Platform
Kalshi
$10

$10 Bonus

Receive $10 when you sign up with Kalshi prediction market

Affiliate Disclosure: Some of the links and placements on this site may be affiliate links or paid partnerships. This means nfelo may receive compensation when you click these links or sign up for a partner’s service.

Offer Disclosure: Offers are for informational purposes only. Age, location, and other restrictions may apply. nfelo does not validate offer availability. See provider for full terms.

  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. bears @ titans week 9, 2020

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

© 2026 nfelo. All rights reserved.

Entertainment purposes only. The information contained on nfeloapp.com is not intended to be, and shall not be construed as, gambling advice, financial advice, or any other professional advice or service. nfeloapp.com and its owners assume no responsibility for errors or omissions. Please gamble responsibly.

CHI logo
CHIBears
5-3
17
TBD
Nissan Stadium
77°F
14 mph
24
TENTitans
5-2
TEN logo
TBD
Nissan Stadium
77°F
14 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Bears
0
0
0
17
17
Titans
3
7
1
7
18

Spread

TEN logo
-6.5

Total

UNDER
46.5

Game Statistics

General
Bears logo
Titans logo
Total Yards
375
228
Total Plays
75
55
Yards / Play
5.0
4.1
EPA / Play
-0.20
-0.13
Passing Yards
319
136
Comp/Att
36/52(69%)
10/21(48%)
Yards / Pass
6.1
6.5
EPA / Pass
-0.11
-0.05
Rushing Yards
56
92
Rush Attempts
20
31
Yards / Rush
2.8
3.0
EPA / Rush
-0.31
-0.17
Downs & Conversions
Bears logo
Titans logo
1st Downs
22
11
Passing 1st downs
17
7
Rushing 1st downs
2
4
Penalty 1st downs
3
--
3rd Down %
13%
40%
3rd Down Conversions
2
6
3rd Down Attempts
15
15
Red Zone %
67%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
2
1
Red Zone Attempts
3
1
Negative Plays
Bears logo
Titans logo
Turnovers
2
0
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
2
0
Turnover EPA
-13.35
--
Sacks
3
3
Sack Yards
-16
-22
Sack EPA
-3.48
-4.41
Penalties
5
6
Penalty Yards
--
57
Penalty EPA
--
-7.62

Game Preview

nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game

Model

Projected Winner
TEN logo
TENTitansFavored
Opening
-6.0
Current
-6.5
Model
-5.5

Win Probability

Market71.0%
Model67.5%
Spread Pick
CHI logo
Bears+6.5
Projected +EV
Expected Value
+1.3%
Cover Probability
53.1%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+96
Home nfelo
1,545
Away nfelo
1,480
Home Field
+6.3
Base HFA
+6.3
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
+25.4
Home QB Adjustment
+23.2
Away QB Adjustment
-2.2
Market Regression
+3.1
Final Difference
127.2
Model Spread
-5.5

Quarterbacks

N. Foles headshot

N. Foles

Proj. Value
-2.6
Team Elo Adj
-2.2
Value
Ptile
01/13
-1.9
33
09/08
-3.2
30
11/17
2.4
69
11/24
0.1
52
12/01
-10.4
4
10/04
-0.8
39
10/08
-1.4
34
10/18
-0.5
42
10/26
-5.3
14
11/01
-2.4
27
R. Tannehill headshot

R. Tannehill

Proj. Value
-2.3
Team Elo Adj
+23.2
Value
Ptile
01/04
-4.2
24
01/11
1.1
61
01/19
1.2
62
09/14
4.5
76
09/20
6.7
87
09/27
0.1
46
10/13
10.4
96
10/18
6.4
86
10/25
2.6
64
11/01
-0.1
46

Team Matchup Ranks

Bears Offense vs Titans Defense
Bears logo
Titans logo

Total

Points / Game
23
24
Yards / Game
28
28
Passing Yards / Game
14
4
Rushing Yards / Game
26
24

EPA

EPA / Play
22
28
EPA / Pass
24
27
EPA / Rush
20
21

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
15
26
Interceptions / Game
26
7
Fumbles / Game
9
21
Turnover EPA / Game
20
22

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
32
32
4th Down Efficiency
14
19
RZ Efficiency
21
30
Titans Offense vs Bears Defense
Titans logo
Bears logo

Total

Points / Game
4
13
Yards / Game
4
11
Passing Yards / Game
15
22
Rushing Yards / Game
2
14

EPA

EPA / Play
3
10
EPA / Pass
4
20
EPA / Rush
2
5

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
4
17
Interceptions / Game
3
28
Fumbles / Game
2
21
Turnover EPA / Game
31
5

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
7
11
4th Down Efficiency
6
18
RZ Efficiency
2
6

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

CHI logo

Bears

6-4
SU
5-5
ATS
4-6
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
12/22
-23
L
L
U
12/29
2
W
L
O
09/13
4
W
W
O
09/20
4
W
L
U
09/27
4
W
W
O
10/04
-8
L
L
U
10/08
1
W
W
U
10/18
7
W
W
U
10/26
-14
L
L
U
11/01
-3
L
W
O
TEN logo

Titans

7-3
SU
4-6
ATS
6-3-1
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
01/04
7
W
W
U
01/11
16
W
W
U
01/19
-11
L
L
O
09/14
2
W
L
U
09/20
3
W
L
O
09/27
1
W
L
O
10/13
26
W
W
O
10/18
6
W
W
O
10/25
-3
L
L
P
11/01
-11
L
L
O