CINBengals
1-3
16
TBD
New Era Field
51°F
15 mph
22
BUFBills
2-2
TBD
New Era Field
51°F
15 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
OT
Total
Bengals
0
6
0
10
0
16
Bills
3
0
10
3
6
22
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
279
257
Total Plays
72
66
Yards / Play
3.9
3.9
EPA / Play
-0.12
-0.06
Passing Yards
212
177
Comp/Att
26/44(59%)
19/35(54%)
Yards / Pass
4.8
5.1
EPA / Pass
-0.00
-0.01
Rushing Yards
67
80
Rush Attempts
27
27
Yards / Rush
2.5
3.0
EPA / Rush
-0.41
-0.20
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
18
17
Passing 1st downs
14
12
Rushing 1st downs
3
4
Penalty 1st downs
1
1
3rd Down %
38%
20%
3rd Down Conversions
6
3
3rd Down Attempts
16
15
Red Zone %
25%
40%
Red Zone Conversions
1
2
Red Zone Attempts
4
5
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
0
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-9.15
--
Sacks
1
4
Sack Yards
-13
-34
Sack EPA
-3.73
-4.14
Penalties
7
6
Penalty Yards
49
49
Penalty EPA
-7.74
-6.25
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
CINBengalsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Bengals Offense vs Bills Defense
Total
Points / Game
13
5
Yards / Game
13
2
Passing Yards / Game
8
10
Rushing Yards / Game
12
7
EPA
EPA / Play
7
8
EPA / Pass
7
7
EPA / Rush
11
11
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
9
1
Interceptions / Game
11
30
Fumbles / Game
3
25
Turnover EPA / Game
27
7
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
4
16
4th Down Efficiency
21
21
RZ Efficiency
5
17
Bills Offense vs Bengals Defense
Total
Points / Game
30
28
Yards / Game
30
28
Passing Yards / Game
22
31
Rushing Yards / Game
22
24
EPA
EPA / Play
28
31
EPA / Pass
27
27
EPA / Rush
21
28
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
23
15
Interceptions / Game
15
20
Fumbles / Game
28
18
Turnover EPA / Game
4
10
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
27
28
4th Down Efficiency
15
29
RZ Efficiency
20
22
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Bengals
2-8
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Bills
5-5
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U