CINBengals
4-11
7
TBD
TIAA Bank Stadium
75°F
7 mph
24
JAXJaguars
13-2
TBD
TIAA Bank Stadium
75°F
7 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Bengals
7
0
0
0
7
Jaguars
7
10
0
7
24
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
236
440
Total Plays
43
77
Yards / Play
5.5
5.7
EPA / Play
-0.17
+0.12
Passing Yards
126
305
Comp/Att
13/22(59%)
28/39(72%)
Yards / Pass
5.7
7.8
EPA / Pass
-0.53
+0.45
Rushing Yards
110
135
Rush Attempts
18
36
Yards / Rush
6.1
3.8
EPA / Rush
+0.17
-0.14
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
13
30
Passing 1st downs
5
19
Rushing 1st downs
6
10
Penalty 1st downs
2
1
3rd Down %
14%
57%
3rd Down Conversions
1
8
3rd Down Attempts
7
14
Red Zone %
50%
29%
Red Zone Conversions
1
2
Red Zone Attempts
2
7
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
1
Interceptions
2
0
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
-9.54
-5.35
Sacks
3
2
Sack Yards
-15
-12
Sack EPA
-4.17
-2.87
Penalties
6
8
Penalty Yards
64
49
Penalty EPA
-5.46
-6.12
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
CINBengalsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Bengals Offense vs Jaguars Defense
Total
Points / Game
24
1
Yards / Game
13
3
Passing Yards / Game
19
6
Rushing Yards / Game
6
6
EPA
EPA / Play
21
4
EPA / Pass
23
4
EPA / Rush
4
1
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
7
21
Interceptions / Game
16
12
Fumbles / Game
23
5
Turnover EPA / Game
11
25
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
5
6
4th Down Efficiency
26
3
RZ Efficiency
21
22
Jaguars Offense vs Bengals Defense
Total
Points / Game
4
31
Yards / Game
4
26
Passing Yards / Game
13
27
Rushing Yards / Game
1
16
EPA
EPA / Play
5
29
EPA / Pass
4
30
EPA / Rush
3
17
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
31
6
Interceptions / Game
2
28
Fumbles / Game
4
10
Turnover EPA / Game
30
7
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
4
26
4th Down Efficiency
17
10
RZ Efficiency
18
25
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Bengals
3-7
SU
4-5-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Jaguars
9-1
SU
4-5-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U