CINBengals
5-2
31
TBD
MetLife Stadium
63°F
11 mph
34
NYJJets
1-5
TBD
MetLife Stadium
63°F
11 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Bengals
0
17
7
7
31
Jets
7
7
3
17
34
Spread
+11.5
Total
OVER
43.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
318
513
Total Plays
54
80
Yards / Play
5.9
6.4
EPA / Play
+0.02
+0.03
Passing Yards
277
416
Comp/Att
22/35(63%)
39/51(76%)
Yards / Pass
7.9
8.2
EPA / Pass
+0.08
+0.07
Rushing Yards
41
97
Rush Attempts
16
27
Yards / Rush
2.6
3.6
EPA / Rush
-0.10
+0.02
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
18
32
Passing 1st downs
13
23
Rushing 1st downs
3
6
Penalty 1st downs
2
3
3rd Down %
40%
55%
3rd Down Conversions
4
6
3rd Down Attempts
10
11
Red Zone %
67%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
4
4
Red Zone Attempts
6
6
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
3
Interceptions
1
2
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
-5.75
-17.56
Sacks
3
2
Sack Yards
-28
-8
Sack EPA
-7.55
-3.48
Penalties
5
8
Penalty Yards
51
46
Penalty EPA
-4.91
-4.18
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
CINBengalsFavored
Opening
-8.5
Current
-11.5
Model
-9.5
Win Probability
Market83.2%
Model78.9%
Spread Pick
Jets+11.5
Expected Value
+18.5%
Cover Probability
62.1%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-189
Home nfelo
1,336
Away nfelo
1,509
Home Field
+40.7
Base HFA
+40.7
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
-56.2
Home QB Adjustment
-42.6
Away QB Adjustment
+13.6
Market Regression
-15.0
Final Difference
-228.8
Model Spread
+9.5
Quarterbacks
J. Burrow
Proj. Value
+4.0
Team Elo Adj
+13.6
M. White
Proj. Value
-3.3
Team Elo Adj
-42.6
No recent game data available
Team Matchup Ranks
Bengals Offense vs Jets Defense
Total
Points / Game
9
32
Yards / Game
14
32
Passing Yards / Game
3
16
Rushing Yards / Game
24
29
EPA
EPA / Play
12
32
EPA / Pass
9
32
EPA / Rush
22
22
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
22
4
Interceptions / Game
11
30
Fumbles / Game
2
18
Turnover EPA / Game
17
4
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
15
27
4th Down Efficiency
5
26
RZ Efficiency
23
19
Jets Offense vs Bengals Defense
Total
Points / Game
28
13
Yards / Game
26
19
Passing Yards / Game
13
28
Rushing Yards / Game
25
7
EPA
EPA / Play
25
10
EPA / Pass
29
14
EPA / Rush
13
15
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
7
1
Interceptions / Game
29
8
Fumbles / Game
7
8
Turnover EPA / Game
9
22
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
27
20
4th Down Efficiency
23
2
RZ Efficiency
20
17
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Bengals
7-3
SU
6-4
ATS
4-6
O/U
Jets
3-7
SU
3-7
ATS
4-6
O/U