CINBengals
2-8
13
TBD
Foxboro Stadium
47°F
15 mph
16
NEPatriots
2-8
TBD
Foxboro Stadium
47°F
15 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Bengals
0
10
3
0
13
Patriots
7
3
0
6
16
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
365
291
Total Plays
74
59
Yards / Play
4.9
4.9
EPA / Play
+0.01
+0.05
Passing Yards
228
252
Comp/Att
20/38(53%)
22/36(61%)
Yards / Pass
6.0
7.0
EPA / Pass
+0.12
+0.08
Rushing Yards
137
39
Rush Attempts
37
22
Yards / Rush
3.7
1.8
EPA / Rush
-0.18
-0.37
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
25
17
Passing 1st downs
14
12
Rushing 1st downs
8
3
Penalty 1st downs
3
2
3rd Down %
59%
38%
3rd Down Conversions
10
5
3rd Down Attempts
17
13
Red Zone %
25%
25%
Red Zone Conversions
1
1
Red Zone Attempts
4
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
1
Interceptions
1
1
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-9.43
-1.92
Sacks
1
1
Sack Yards
-8
-6
Sack EPA
-1.01
-1.17
Penalties
8
9
Penalty Yards
75
69
Penalty EPA
-6.83
-5.23
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
CINBengalsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Bengals Offense vs Patriots Defense
Total
Points / Game
30
17
Yards / Game
29
19
Passing Yards / Game
29
15
Rushing Yards / Game
2
20
EPA
EPA / Play
29
18
EPA / Pass
31
24
EPA / Rush
13
10
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
3
8
Interceptions / Game
7
29
Fumbles / Game
28
16
Turnover EPA / Game
10
15
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
25
28
4th Down Efficiency
21
31
RZ Efficiency
27
18
Patriots Offense vs Bengals Defense
Total
Points / Game
26
19
Yards / Game
21
24
Passing Yards / Game
14
21
Rushing Yards / Game
26
24
EPA
EPA / Play
20
22
EPA / Pass
18
29
EPA / Rush
27
7
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
7
6
Interceptions / Game
10
31
Fumbles / Game
7
11
Turnover EPA / Game
21
3
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
23
25
4th Down Efficiency
12
7
RZ Efficiency
24
10
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Bengals
2-8
SU
3-6-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Patriots
2-8
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U