CINBengals
6-6
28
TBD
Gillette Stadium
39°F
5 mph
35
NEPatriots
11-1
TBD
Gillette Stadium
39°F
5 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Bengals
0
14
7
7
28
Patriots
7
15
7
0
29
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
478
351
Total Plays
68
56
Yards / Play
7.0
6.3
EPA / Play
+0.15
+0.26
Passing Yards
--
257
Comp/Att
27/37(73%)
18/26(69%)
Yards / Pass
--
9.9
EPA / Pass
+0.42
+0.46
Rushing Yards
150
94
Rush Attempts
31
29
Yards / Rush
4.8
3.2
EPA / Rush
+0.03
-0.00
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
26
22
Passing 1st downs
19
12
Rushing 1st downs
7
10
Penalty 1st downs
--
--
3rd Down %
69%
40%
3rd Down Conversions
9
4
3rd Down Attempts
13
10
Red Zone %
60%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
3
3
Red Zone Attempts
5
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
0
Interceptions
2
0
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-18.06
--
Sacks
--
1
Sack Yards
--
-3
Sack EPA
--
-1.12
Penalties
9
2
Penalty Yards
75
--
Penalty EPA
-8.56
--
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
CINBengalsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Bengals Offense vs Patriots Defense
Total
Points / Game
10
2
Yards / Game
18
9
Passing Yards / Game
30
16
Rushing Yards / Game
16
5
EPA
EPA / Play
23
9
EPA / Pass
22
8
EPA / Rush
21
4
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
14
28
Interceptions / Game
29
3
Fumbles / Game
21
2
Turnover EPA / Game
6
30
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
11
22
4th Down Efficiency
14
14
RZ Efficiency
19
3
Patriots Offense vs Bengals Defense
Total
Points / Game
3
21
Yards / Game
9
17
Passing Yards / Game
12
26
Rushing Yards / Game
6
25
EPA
EPA / Play
4
10
EPA / Pass
5
9
EPA / Rush
10
15
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
27
26
Interceptions / Game
6
8
Fumbles / Game
20
6
Turnover EPA / Game
28
27
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
5
15
4th Down Efficiency
21
6
RZ Efficiency
7
9
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Bengals
5-5
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Patriots
9-1
SU
8-1-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U