CINBengals
0-7
10
TBD
Wembley Stadium
48°F
5 mph
24
LARRams
4-3
TBD
Wembley Stadium
48°F
5 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Bengals
0
10
0
0
10
Rams
3
14
7
0
24
Spread
-11.5
Total
UNDER
48.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
401
470
Total Plays
79
57
Yards / Play
5.1
8.2
EPA / Play
+0.03
+0.32
Passing Yards
297
--
Comp/Att
32/52(62%)
17/31(55%)
Yards / Pass
5.7
--
EPA / Pass
-0.02
+0.76
Rushing Yards
104
98
Rush Attempts
22
26
Yards / Rush
4.7
3.8
EPA / Rush
+0.16
-0.07
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
24
19
Passing 1st downs
15
13
Rushing 1st downs
5
6
Penalty 1st downs
4
--
3rd Down %
33%
54%
3rd Down Conversions
6
7
3rd Down Attempts
18
13
Red Zone %
25%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
1
1
Red Zone Attempts
4
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
0
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
--
Sacks
5
--
Sack Yards
-32
--
Sack EPA
-8.09
--
Penalties
6
9
Penalty Yards
40
59
Penalty EPA
-3.69
-8.32
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
LARRamsFavored
Opening
-12.5
Current
-11.5
Model
-11.5
Win Probability
Market82.6%
Model82.6%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+256
Home nfelo
1,623
Away nfelo
1,343
Home Field
-27.9
Base HFA
--
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
-27.9
Net QB Adjustment
+4.4
Home QB Adjustment
-0.1
Away QB Adjustment
-4.5
Market Regression
-18.8
Final Difference
270.6
Model Spread
-11.5
Quarterbacks
A. Dalton
Proj. Value
-1.5
Team Elo Adj
-4.5
J. Goff
Proj. Value
+2.5
Team Elo Adj
-0.1
Team Matchup Ranks
Bengals Offense vs Rams Defense
Total
Points / Game
30
17
Yards / Game
26
14
Passing Yards / Game
11
19
Rushing Yards / Game
25
18
EPA
EPA / Play
25
10
EPA / Pass
29
12
EPA / Rush
22
16
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
5
32
Interceptions / Game
23
13
Fumbles / Game
27
12
Turnover EPA / Game
6
24
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
23
17
4th Down Efficiency
12
25
RZ Efficiency
29
30
Rams Offense vs Bengals Defense
Total
Points / Game
10
25
Yards / Game
6
29
Passing Yards / Game
26
9
Rushing Yards / Game
26
32
EPA
EPA / Play
15
30
EPA / Pass
12
29
EPA / Rush
28
27
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
28
9
Interceptions / Game
25
21
Fumbles / Game
10
25
Turnover EPA / Game
8
2
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
16
25
4th Down Efficiency
31
20
RZ Efficiency
6
4
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Bengals
1-9
SU
6-4
ATS
2-6-2
O/U
Rams
6-4
SU
7-3
ATS
4-6
O/U