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  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. bengals @ rams week 16, 2003

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

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CIN logo
CINBengals
8-6
10
TBD
Edward Jones Dome
70°F
0
27
LARRams
11-3
LAR logo
TBD
Edward Jones Dome
70°F
0

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Bengals
0
10
0
0
10
Rams
7
10
3
7
27

Game Statistics

General
Bengals logo
Rams logo
Total Yards
286
371
Total Plays
55
70
Yards / Play
5.2
5.3
EPA / Play
-0.18
+0.02
Passing Yards
187
228
Comp/Att
16/29(55%)
24/38(63%)
Yards / Pass
6.4
6.0
EPA / Pass
-0.27
+0.17
Rushing Yards
99
143
Rush Attempts
23
31
Yards / Rush
4.3
4.6
EPA / Rush
-0.10
-0.01
Downs & Conversions
Bengals logo
Rams logo
1st Downs
14
23
Passing 1st downs
8
13
Rushing 1st downs
5
9
Penalty 1st downs
1
1
3rd Down %
31%
63%
3rd Down Conversions
4
10
3rd Down Attempts
13
16
Red Zone %
50%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
1
2
Red Zone Attempts
2
3
Negative Plays
Bengals logo
Rams logo
Turnovers
3
1
Interceptions
3
1
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-12.01
-2.94
Sacks
3
1
Sack Yards
-15
-1
Sack EPA
-4.49
-1.39
Penalties
5
6
Penalty Yards
38
40
Penalty EPA
+2.66
-4.17

Preview data is limited for games before 2009

Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.

Model

Projected Winner
CIN logo
CINBengalsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A

Win Probability

MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--

Quarterbacks

Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available

Team Matchup Ranks

Bengals Offense vs Rams Defense
Bengals logo
Rams logo

Total

Points / Game
13
17
Yards / Game
13
17
Passing Yards / Game
8
26
Rushing Yards / Game
12
21

EPA

EPA / Play
7
5
EPA / Pass
7
2
EPA / Rush
11
21

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
9
10
Interceptions / Game
11
4
Fumbles / Game
3
1
Turnover EPA / Game
27
32

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
4
12
4th Down Efficiency
21
11
RZ Efficiency
5
21
Rams Offense vs Bengals Defense
Rams logo
Bengals logo

Total

Points / Game
3
28
Yards / Game
8
28
Passing Yards / Game
3
31
Rushing Yards / Game
31
24

EPA

EPA / Play
13
31
EPA / Pass
13
27
EPA / Rush
19
28

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
28
15
Interceptions / Game
32
20
Fumbles / Game
26
18
Turnover EPA / Game
5
10

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
6
28
4th Down Efficiency
16
29
RZ Efficiency
17
22

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

CIN logo

Bengals

7-3
SU
7-2-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
10/05
-6
L
W
P
10/19
8
W
W
P
10/26
3
W
W
P
11/02
-3
L
L
P
11/09
7
W
W
P
11/16
5
W
W
P
11/23
7
W
W
P
11/30
4
W
W
P
12/07
-18
L
L
P
12/14
3
W
P
P
LAR logo

Rams

9-1
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
10/13
36
W
W
P
10/19
10
W
W
P
10/26
12
W
W
P
11/02
-20
L
L
P
11/09
11
W
W
P
11/16
2
W
L
P
11/23
3
W
L
P
11/30
31
W
W
P
12/08
6
W
W
P
12/14
5
W
L
P