CINBengals
4-2
34
TBD
Lumen Field
56°F
14 mph
12
SEASeahawks
2-4
TBD
Lumen Field
56°F
14 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Bengals
10
7
0
5
22
Seahawks
0
3
3
6
12
Spread
-1.5
Total
OVER
37.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
252
411
Total Plays
57
72
Yards / Play
4.4
5.7
EPA / Play
+0.04
-0.32
Passing Yards
160
350
Comp/Att
18/29(62%)
25/48(52%)
Yards / Pass
5.5
7.3
EPA / Pass
+0.10
-0.09
Rushing Yards
92
61
Rush Attempts
27
20
Yards / Rush
3.4
3.0
EPA / Rush
-0.17
-0.53
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
18
20
Passing 1st downs
9
14
Rushing 1st downs
4
5
Penalty 1st downs
5
1
3rd Down %
43%
33%
3rd Down Conversions
6
5
3rd Down Attempts
14
15
Red Zone %
50%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
1
1
Red Zone Attempts
2
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
2
Interceptions
2
1
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
-4.44
-13.52
Sacks
1
4
Sack Yards
-8
-25
Sack EPA
-1.67
-5.94
Penalties
7
11
Penalty Yards
65
80
Penalty EPA
-6.97
-9.18
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
CINBengalsFavored
Opening
-2.5
Current
-1.5
Model
-1.5
Win Probability
Market53.6%
Model53.6%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-34
Home nfelo
1,428
Away nfelo
1,486
Home Field
+36.3
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
-48.6
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+22.4
Net QB Adjustment
-12.4
Home QB Adjustment
-11.9
Away QB Adjustment
+0.5
Market Regression
+21.1
Final Difference
-25.1
Model Spread
+1.5
Quarterbacks
A. Dalton
Proj. Value
-1.5
Team Elo Adj
+0.5
C. Whitehurst
Proj. Value
-3.6
Team Elo Adj
-11.9
Value
Ptile
Team Matchup Ranks
Bengals Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Total
Points / Game
19
7
Yards / Game
22
9
Passing Yards / Game
19
12
Rushing Yards / Game
21
15
EPA
EPA / Play
19
5
EPA / Pass
18
3
EPA / Rush
21
15
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
27
4
Interceptions / Game
19
3
Fumbles / Game
4
18
Turnover EPA / Game
26
29
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
16
10
4th Down Efficiency
25
30
RZ Efficiency
25
12
Seahawks Offense vs Bengals Defense
Total
Points / Game
23
12
Yards / Game
28
6
Passing Yards / Game
23
19
Rushing Yards / Game
20
12
EPA
EPA / Play
25
10
EPA / Pass
20
11
EPA / Rush
27
14
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
13
27
Interceptions / Game
13
29
Fumbles / Game
17
9
Turnover EPA / Game
22
12
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
24
14
4th Down Efficiency
10
8
RZ Efficiency
21
29
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Bengals
6-4
SU
8-2
ATS
6-4
O/U
Seahawks
4-6
SU
5-4-1
ATS
6-4
O/U