BUFBills
2-2
7
TBD
Soldier Field
56°F
5 mph
40
CHIBears
4-0
TBD
Soldier Field
56°F
5 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Bills
0
0
0
7
7
Bears
6
21
3
10
40
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
145
351
Total Plays
48
72
Yards / Play
3.0
4.9
EPA / Play
-0.49
+0.15
Passing Yards
87
196
Comp/Att
14/27(52%)
19/31(61%)
Yards / Pass
3.2
6.3
EPA / Pass
-0.69
+0.18
Rushing Yards
58
155
Rush Attempts
18
39
Yards / Rush
3.2
4.0
EPA / Rush
-0.28
+0.01
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
10
23
Passing 1st downs
6
10
Rushing 1st downs
3
11
Penalty 1st downs
1
2
3rd Down %
18%
50%
3rd Down Conversions
2
7
3rd Down Attempts
11
14
Red Zone %
100%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
1
4
Red Zone Attempts
1
6
Negative Plays
Turnovers
5
1
Interceptions
3
0
Fumbles
2
1
Turnover EPA
-22.55
-4.15
Sacks
3
2
Sack Yards
-28
-15
Sack EPA
-4.70
-3.01
Penalties
7
4
Penalty Yards
44
21
Penalty EPA
-5.09
-2.58
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
BUFBillsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Bills Offense vs Bears Defense
Total
Points / Game
23
3
Yards / Game
30
9
Passing Yards / Game
20
20
Rushing Yards / Game
27
9
EPA
EPA / Play
21
1
EPA / Pass
18
2
EPA / Rush
25
4
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
19
29
Interceptions / Game
11
3
Fumbles / Game
28
1
Turnover EPA / Game
16
31
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
31
3
4th Down Efficiency
20
12
RZ Efficiency
25
10
Bears Offense vs Bills Defense
Total
Points / Game
2
9
Yards / Game
14
18
Passing Yards / Game
12
6
Rushing Yards / Game
12
27
EPA
EPA / Play
15
10
EPA / Pass
26
9
EPA / Rush
14
29
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
22
6
Interceptions / Game
27
24
Fumbles / Game
22
25
Turnover EPA / Game
4
16
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
25
12
4th Down Efficiency
4
28
RZ Efficiency
15
20
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Bills
3-7
SU
5-4-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Bears
7-3
SU
5-4-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U