BUFBills
1-1
23
TBD
Empower Field at Mile High
59°F
3 mph
28
DENBroncos
2-0
TBD
Empower Field at Mile High
59°F
3 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Bills
0
7
3
13
23
Broncos
1
7
7
7
22
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
291
342
Total Plays
60
67
Yards / Play
4.8
5.1
EPA / Play
+0.05
+0.07
Passing Yards
252
179
Comp/Att
27/42(64%)
19/31(61%)
Yards / Pass
6.0
5.8
EPA / Pass
+0.23
+0.08
Rushing Yards
39
163
Rush Attempts
14
32
Yards / Rush
2.8
5.1
EPA / Rush
-0.63
-0.01
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
17
22
Passing 1st downs
15
12
Rushing 1st downs
2
6
Penalty 1st downs
--
4
3rd Down %
43%
23%
3rd Down Conversions
6
3
3rd Down Attempts
14
13
Red Zone %
100%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
3
2
Red Zone Attempts
3
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
0
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-6.81
--
Sacks
4
4
Sack Yards
-31
-32
Sack EPA
-5.42
-5.90
Penalties
10
9
Penalty Yards
82
64
Penalty EPA
-10.10
-5.81
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
BUFBillsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Bills Offense vs Broncos Defense
Total
Points / Game
12
14
Yards / Game
9
6
Passing Yards / Game
1
22
Rushing Yards / Game
23
4
EPA
EPA / Play
11
22
EPA / Pass
7
20
EPA / Rush
22
24
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
8
5
Interceptions / Game
12
30
Fumbles / Game
21
17
Turnover EPA / Game
5
8
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
10
28
4th Down Efficiency
11
15
RZ Efficiency
15
30
Broncos Offense vs Bills Defense
Total
Points / Game
6
27
Yards / Game
3
14
Passing Yards / Game
3
6
Rushing Yards / Game
5
29
EPA
EPA / Play
4
26
EPA / Pass
9
17
EPA / Rush
4
26
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
23
2
Interceptions / Game
23
26
Fumbles / Game
5
24
Turnover EPA / Game
14
2
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
22
9
4th Down Efficiency
4
11
RZ Efficiency
7
32
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Bills
3-7
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Broncos
6-4
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U