BUFBills
7-3
17
TBD
Raymond James Stadium
67°F
5 mph
31
TBBuccaneers
6-5
TBD
Raymond James Stadium
67°F
5 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Bills
0
7
0
10
17
Buccaneers
3
7
0
15
25
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
433
181
Total Plays
81
48
Yards / Play
5.3
3.8
EPA / Play
-0.05
+0.18
Passing Yards
277
66
Comp/Att
28/48(58%)
10/18(56%)
Yards / Pass
5.8
3.7
EPA / Pass
+0.05
-0.37
Rushing Yards
139
115
Rush Attempts
27
24
Yards / Rush
5.1
4.8
EPA / Rush
+0.12
+0.14
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
25
13
Passing 1st downs
16
7
Rushing 1st downs
6
5
Penalty 1st downs
3
1
3rd Down %
40%
20%
3rd Down Conversions
8
2
3rd Down Attempts
20
10
Red Zone %
40%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
2
2
Red Zone Attempts
5
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
0
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
2
0
Turnover EPA
-4.42
--
Sacks
6
7
Sack Yards
-25
-40
Sack EPA
-6.47
-9.17
Penalties
8
7
Penalty Yards
70
71
Penalty EPA
-5.22
-3.72
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
BUFBillsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Bills Offense vs Buccaneers Defense
Total
Points / Game
14
8
Yards / Game
8
9
Passing Yards / Game
6
22
Rushing Yards / Game
10
11
EPA
EPA / Play
24
5
EPA / Pass
13
4
EPA / Rush
23
20
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
23
15
Interceptions / Game
1
5
Fumbles / Game
11
7
Turnover EPA / Game
31
27
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
19
7
4th Down Efficiency
2
22
RZ Efficiency
17
7
Buccaneers Offense vs Bills Defense
Total
Points / Game
8
22
Yards / Game
22
4
Passing Yards / Game
28
7
Rushing Yards / Game
9
6
EPA
EPA / Play
17
19
EPA / Pass
17
12
EPA / Rush
9
8
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
29
3
Interceptions / Game
4
17
Fumbles / Game
4
11
Turnover EPA / Game
27
20
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
27
12
4th Down Efficiency
24
23
RZ Efficiency
8
12
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Bills
7-3
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Buccaneers
5-5
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U