BUFBills
0-1
26
TBD
RCA Dome
70°F
042
INDColts
1-0
TBD
RCA Dome
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Bills
1
10
3
6
20
Colts
14
21
7
0
42
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
374
555
Total Plays
64
60
Yards / Play
5.8
9.3
EPA / Play
+0.09
+0.31
Passing Yards
229
418
Comp/Att
24/38(63%)
23/29(79%)
Yards / Pass
6.0
14.4
EPA / Pass
+0.12
+0.48
Rushing Yards
145
137
Rush Attempts
22
30
Yards / Rush
6.6
4.6
EPA / Rush
+0.09
+0.11
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
21
28
Passing 1st downs
13
13
Rushing 1st downs
5
11
Penalty 1st downs
3
4
3rd Down %
38%
60%
3rd Down Conversions
5
6
3rd Down Attempts
13
10
Red Zone %
67%
75%
Red Zone Conversions
2
3
Red Zone Attempts
3
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
3
Interceptions
1
2
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
-2.97
-16.94
Sacks
4
1
Sack Yards
-28
-3
Sack EPA
-3.75
-1.73
Penalties
19
8
Penalty Yards
133
59
Penalty EPA
-15.71
-7.14
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
BUFBillsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Bills Offense vs Colts Defense
Total
Points / Game
27
31
Yards / Game
13
29
Passing Yards / Game
11
11
Rushing Yards / Game
23
25
EPA
EPA / Play
23
31
EPA / Pass
21
28
EPA / Rush
16
26
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
11
22
Interceptions / Game
20
21
Fumbles / Game
20
23
Turnover EPA / Game
8
12
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
24
29
4th Down Efficiency
10
18
RZ Efficiency
16
31
Colts Offense vs Bills Defense
Total
Points / Game
2
29
Yards / Game
2
20
Passing Yards / Game
6
3
Rushing Yards / Game
7
26
EPA
EPA / Play
7
29
EPA / Pass
9
17
EPA / Rush
7
31
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
17
8
Interceptions / Game
27
29
Fumbles / Game
24
29
Turnover EPA / Game
1
5
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
6
28
4th Down Efficiency
4
15
RZ Efficiency
7
24
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Bills
5-5
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Colts
5-5
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U