BUFBills
3-5
16
TBD
RCA Dome
70°F
017
INDColts
8-0
TBD
RCA Dome
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Bills
3
1
3
3
10
Colts
0
10
7
0
17
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
162
384
Total Plays
48
68
Yards / Play
3.4
5.6
EPA / Play
-0.04
-0.06
Passing Yards
51
--
Comp/Att
9/13(69%)
27/39(69%)
Yards / Pass
3.9
--
EPA / Pass
+0.06
-0.14
Rushing Yards
111
148
Rush Attempts
31
29
Yards / Rush
3.6
5.1
EPA / Rush
-0.22
-0.13
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
10
26
Passing 1st downs
4
14
Rushing 1st downs
4
11
Penalty 1st downs
2
1
3rd Down %
36%
38%
3rd Down Conversions
5
3
3rd Down Attempts
14
8
Red Zone %
0%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
--
2
Red Zone Attempts
3
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
2
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
0
2
Turnover EPA
--
-14.83
Sacks
4
--
Sack Yards
-32
--
Sack EPA
-6.47
--
Penalties
5
6
Penalty Yards
40
54
Penalty EPA
-6.18
-4.38
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
BUFBillsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Bills Offense vs Colts Defense
Total
Points / Game
23
18
Yards / Game
30
12
Passing Yards / Game
20
2
Rushing Yards / Game
27
32
EPA
EPA / Play
21
27
EPA / Pass
18
14
EPA / Rush
25
32
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
19
32
Interceptions / Game
11
14
Fumbles / Game
28
6
Turnover EPA / Game
16
13
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
31
25
4th Down Efficiency
20
30
RZ Efficiency
25
31
Colts Offense vs Bills Defense
Total
Points / Game
3
9
Yards / Game
2
18
Passing Yards / Game
22
6
Rushing Yards / Game
16
27
EPA
EPA / Play
2
10
EPA / Pass
1
9
EPA / Rush
10
29
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
4
6
Interceptions / Game
6
24
Fumbles / Game
9
25
Turnover EPA / Game
22
16
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
1
12
4th Down Efficiency
32
28
RZ Efficiency
4
20
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Bills
4-6
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Colts
9-1
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U