BUFBills
5-3
34
TBD
FedExField
54°F
14 mph
17
WASCommanders
5-2
TBD
FedExField
54°F
14 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Bills
3
14
14
3
34
Commanders
7
3
0
7
17
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
413
279
Total Plays
72
51
Yards / Play
5.7
5.5
EPA / Play
+0.33
+0.08
Passing Yards
209
216
Comp/Att
16/22(73%)
19/36(53%)
Yards / Pass
9.5
6.0
EPA / Pass
+0.81
-0.10
Rushing Yards
204
57
Rush Attempts
49
13
Yards / Rush
4.2
4.4
EPA / Rush
+0.08
+0.13
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
24
16
Passing 1st downs
12
9
Rushing 1st downs
12
5
Penalty 1st downs
--
2
3rd Down %
60%
42%
3rd Down Conversions
9
5
3rd Down Attempts
15
12
Red Zone %
57%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
4
2
Red Zone Attempts
7
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
2
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
--
-6.34
Sacks
1
2
Sack Yards
-2
-10
Sack EPA
-0.98
-5.23
Penalties
6
2
Penalty Yards
79
15
Penalty EPA
-4.78
-1.90
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
BUFBillsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Bills Offense vs Commanders Defense
Total
Points / Game
15
23
Yards / Game
15
25
Passing Yards / Game
23
24
Rushing Yards / Game
7
23
EPA
EPA / Play
12
26
EPA / Pass
9
16
EPA / Rush
18
27
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
13
25
Interceptions / Game
8
6
Fumbles / Game
10
18
Turnover EPA / Game
21
18
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
3
18
4th Down Efficiency
9
23
RZ Efficiency
16
29
Commanders Offense vs Bills Defense
Total
Points / Game
2
3
Yards / Game
3
1
Passing Yards / Game
12
1
Rushing Yards / Game
5
5
EPA
EPA / Play
2
5
EPA / Pass
8
3
EPA / Rush
1
6
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
20
26
Interceptions / Game
10
27
Fumbles / Game
9
23
Turnover EPA / Game
26
6
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
11
2
4th Down Efficiency
13
9
RZ Efficiency
6
5
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Bills
5-3
SU
3-5
ATS
0-0-8
O/U
Commanders
5-2
SU
4-3
ATS
0-0-7
O/U