BUFBills
0-1
16
TBD
Hard Rock Stadium
86°F
10 mph
6
MIADolphins
0-1
TBD
Hard Rock Stadium
86°F
10 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Bills
3
0
13
0
16
Dolphins
0
0
0
6
6
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
171
282
Total Plays
52
60
Yards / Play
3.3
4.7
EPA / Play
+0.00
-0.23
Passing Yards
66
190
Comp/Att
11/18(61%)
23/33(70%)
Yards / Pass
3.7
5.8
EPA / Pass
-0.12
-0.23
Rushing Yards
105
92
Rush Attempts
32
20
Yards / Rush
3.3
4.6
EPA / Rush
-0.13
-0.01
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
12
15
Passing 1st downs
5
10
Rushing 1st downs
6
5
Penalty 1st downs
1
--
3rd Down %
31%
40%
3rd Down Conversions
4
6
3rd Down Attempts
13
15
Red Zone %
33%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
1
--
Red Zone Attempts
3
1
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
1
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
-3.91
Sacks
2
7
Sack Yards
-17
-60
Sack EPA
-3.32
-11.35
Penalties
4
6
Penalty Yards
--
75
Penalty EPA
--
-7.30
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
BUFBillsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Bills Offense vs Dolphins Defense
Total
Points / Game
23
5
Yards / Game
30
4
Passing Yards / Game
20
13
Rushing Yards / Game
27
7
EPA
EPA / Play
21
5
EPA / Pass
18
12
EPA / Rush
25
3
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
19
12
Interceptions / Game
11
31
Fumbles / Game
28
3
Turnover EPA / Game
16
19
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
31
16
4th Down Efficiency
20
24
RZ Efficiency
25
4
Dolphins Offense vs Bills Defense
Total
Points / Game
29
9
Yards / Game
20
18
Passing Yards / Game
15
6
Rushing Yards / Game
22
27
EPA
EPA / Play
28
10
EPA / Pass
24
9
EPA / Rush
26
29
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
30
6
Interceptions / Game
23
24
Fumbles / Game
5
25
Turnover EPA / Game
26
16
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
16
12
4th Down Efficiency
14
28
RZ Efficiency
22
20
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Bills
2-8
SU
5-4-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Dolphins
6-4
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U