BUFBills
3-3
23
TBD
Hard Rock Stadium
85°F
9 mph
10
MIADolphins
5-1
TBD
Hard Rock Stadium
85°F
9 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Bills
3
8
3
3
17
Dolphins
7
3
0
0
10
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
294
287
Total Plays
63
68
Yards / Play
4.7
4.2
EPA / Play
-0.04
-0.28
Passing Yards
162
155
Comp/Att
15/31(48%)
13/33(39%)
Yards / Pass
5.2
4.7
EPA / Pass
-0.03
-0.49
Rushing Yards
132
132
Rush Attempts
27
34
Yards / Rush
4.9
3.9
EPA / Rush
-0.17
-0.23
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
15
17
Passing 1st downs
6
9
Rushing 1st downs
6
8
Penalty 1st downs
3
--
3rd Down %
23%
40%
3rd Down Conversions
3
6
3rd Down Attempts
13
15
Red Zone %
0%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
--
1
Red Zone Attempts
4
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
6
Interceptions
0
4
Fumbles
0
2
Turnover EPA
--
-26.41
Sacks
5
1
Sack Yards
-20
-10
Sack EPA
-4.26
-1.92
Penalties
4
6
Penalty Yards
--
56
Penalty EPA
--
-6.24
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
BUFBillsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Bills Offense vs Dolphins Defense
Total
Points / Game
12
4
Yards / Game
9
3
Passing Yards / Game
1
5
Rushing Yards / Game
23
5
EPA
EPA / Play
11
9
EPA / Pass
7
4
EPA / Rush
22
12
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
8
26
Interceptions / Game
12
5
Fumbles / Game
21
30
Turnover EPA / Game
5
21
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
10
4
4th Down Efficiency
11
1
RZ Efficiency
15
5
Dolphins Offense vs Bills Defense
Total
Points / Game
13
27
Yards / Game
15
14
Passing Yards / Game
25
6
Rushing Yards / Game
2
29
EPA
EPA / Play
7
26
EPA / Pass
16
17
EPA / Rush
9
26
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
29
2
Interceptions / Game
12
26
Fumbles / Game
27
24
Turnover EPA / Game
17
2
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
21
9
4th Down Efficiency
31
11
RZ Efficiency
2
32
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Bills
4-6
SU
6-3-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Dolphins
7-3
SU
6-3-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U