BUFBills
4-4
13
TBD
Hard Rock Stadium
80°F
9 mph
10
MIADolphins
0-8
TBD
Hard Rock Stadium
80°F
9 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Bills
0
0
0
11
11
Dolphins
3
0
7
0
10
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
216
269
Total Plays
51
68
Yards / Play
4.2
4.0
EPA / Play
-0.04
-0.09
Passing Yards
151
126
Comp/Att
12/23(52%)
16/29(55%)
Yards / Pass
6.6
4.3
EPA / Pass
-0.17
-0.08
Rushing Yards
65
143
Rush Attempts
26
38
Yards / Rush
2.5
3.8
EPA / Rush
-0.15
-0.01
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
15
15
Passing 1st downs
10
5
Rushing 1st downs
4
10
Penalty 1st downs
1
--
3rd Down %
20%
47%
3rd Down Conversions
2
9
3rd Down Attempts
10
19
Red Zone %
50%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
1
1
Red Zone Attempts
2
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
0
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-3.52
--
Sacks
2
1
Sack Yards
-6
-5
Sack EPA
-2.07
-0.71
Penalties
2
7
Penalty Yards
10
39
Penalty EPA
-0.96
-2.78
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
BUFBillsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Bills Offense vs Dolphins Defense
Total
Points / Game
30
30
Yards / Game
30
23
Passing Yards / Game
32
8
Rushing Yards / Game
16
32
EPA
EPA / Play
24
32
EPA / Pass
31
32
EPA / Rush
16
31
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
3
11
Interceptions / Game
6
24
Fumbles / Game
8
31
Turnover EPA / Game
27
4
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
30
32
4th Down Efficiency
16
27
RZ Efficiency
30
32
Dolphins Offense vs Bills Defense
Total
Points / Game
26
18
Yards / Game
28
31
Passing Yards / Game
13
18
Rushing Yards / Game
22
25
EPA
EPA / Play
19
27
EPA / Pass
24
28
EPA / Rush
8
19
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
9
23
Interceptions / Game
13
8
Fumbles / Game
24
18
Turnover EPA / Game
16
21
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
20
29
4th Down Efficiency
9
10
RZ Efficiency
17
4
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Bills
4-6
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Dolphins
0-10
SU
3-5-2
ATS
0-0-10
O/U