BUFBills
4-7
23
TBD
Hard Rock Stadium
77°F
8 mph
24
MIADolphins
4-7
TBD
Hard Rock Stadium
77°F
8 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Bills
21
0
0
0
21
Dolphins
0
3
0
21
24
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
294
434
Total Plays
62
90
Yards / Play
4.7
4.8
EPA / Play
+0.04
+0.01
Passing Yards
202
361
Comp/Att
14/27(52%)
34/65(52%)
Yards / Pass
7.5
5.6
EPA / Pass
+0.08
+0.00
Rushing Yards
92
73
Rush Attempts
33
22
Yards / Rush
2.8
3.3
EPA / Rush
-0.12
-0.02
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
16
26
Passing 1st downs
8
17
Rushing 1st downs
5
6
Penalty 1st downs
3
3
3rd Down %
43%
40%
3rd Down Conversions
6
8
3rd Down Attempts
14
20
Red Zone %
33%
60%
Red Zone Conversions
1
3
Red Zone Attempts
3
5
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
3
Interceptions
1
1
Fumbles
1
2
Turnover EPA
-11.48
+0.43
Sacks
2
3
Sack Yards
-25
-26
Sack EPA
-6.73
-3.13
Penalties
7
13
Penalty Yards
55
81
Penalty EPA
-6.62
-13.08
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
BUFBillsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Bills Offense vs Dolphins Defense
Total
Points / Game
24
14
Yards / Game
29
17
Passing Yards / Game
22
26
Rushing Yards / Game
21
16
EPA
EPA / Play
17
19
EPA / Pass
21
20
EPA / Rush
23
6
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
20
29
Interceptions / Game
17
23
Fumbles / Game
8
8
Turnover EPA / Game
22
15
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
21
24
4th Down Efficiency
24
15
RZ Efficiency
30
18
Dolphins Offense vs Bills Defense
Total
Points / Game
16
24
Yards / Game
13
29
Passing Yards / Game
27
27
Rushing Yards / Game
11
30
EPA
EPA / Play
12
30
EPA / Pass
18
26
EPA / Rush
13
32
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
31
12
Interceptions / Game
17
11
Fumbles / Game
30
9
Turnover EPA / Game
24
21
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
25
32
4th Down Efficiency
22
23
RZ Efficiency
26
32
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Bills
3-7
SU
4-5-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Dolphins
3-7
SU
3-7
ATS
0-0-10
O/U