BUFBills
7-8
9
TBD
Lincoln Financial Field
42°F
5 mph
17
PHIEagles
7-8
TBD
Lincoln Financial Field
42°F
5 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Bills
0
3
6
0
9
Eagles
7
3
7
0
17
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
271
391
Total Plays
60
64
Yards / Play
4.5
6.1
EPA / Play
-0.07
+0.01
Passing Yards
--
322
Comp/Att
16/30(53%)
29/41(71%)
Yards / Pass
--
7.9
EPA / Pass
-0.13
+0.21
Rushing Yards
138
69
Rush Attempts
30
19
Yards / Rush
4.6
3.6
EPA / Rush
-0.17
-0.39
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
13
20
Passing 1st downs
7
17
Rushing 1st downs
5
2
Penalty 1st downs
1
1
3rd Down %
17%
38%
3rd Down Conversions
2
5
3rd Down Attempts
12
13
Red Zone %
0%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
--
1
Red Zone Attempts
4
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
2
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
--
-9.21
Sacks
--
4
Sack Yards
--
-23
Sack EPA
--
-5.11
Penalties
3
6
Penalty Yards
23
39
Penalty EPA
-3.55
-4.95
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
BUFBillsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Bills Offense vs Eagles Defense
Total
Points / Game
30
8
Yards / Game
30
11
Passing Yards / Game
32
19
Rushing Yards / Game
16
8
EPA
EPA / Play
24
16
EPA / Pass
31
17
EPA / Rush
16
10
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
3
6
Interceptions / Game
6
31
Fumbles / Game
8
14
Turnover EPA / Game
27
1
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
30
9
4th Down Efficiency
16
2
RZ Efficiency
30
2
Eagles Offense vs Bills Defense
Total
Points / Game
17
18
Yards / Game
6
31
Passing Yards / Game
1
18
Rushing Yards / Game
7
25
EPA
EPA / Play
10
27
EPA / Pass
14
28
EPA / Rush
3
19
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
20
23
Interceptions / Game
9
8
Fumbles / Game
8
18
Turnover EPA / Game
22
21
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
10
29
4th Down Efficiency
7
10
RZ Efficiency
25
4
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Bills
6-4
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Eagles
5-5
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U