BUFBills
5-5
14
TBD
TIAA Bank Stadium
68°F
10 mph
36
JAXJaguars
7-3
TBD
TIAA Bank Stadium
68°F
10 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Bills
0
7
7
0
14
Jaguars
10
6
3
17
36
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
297
416
Total Plays
65
64
Yards / Play
4.6
6.5
EPA / Play
-0.09
+0.25
Passing Yards
203
292
Comp/Att
27/40(68%)
23/37(62%)
Yards / Pass
5.1
7.9
EPA / Pass
-0.22
+0.35
Rushing Yards
94
124
Rush Attempts
24
26
Yards / Rush
3.9
4.8
EPA / Rush
-0.02
-0.15
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
20
21
Passing 1st downs
14
14
Rushing 1st downs
5
6
Penalty 1st downs
1
1
3rd Down %
56%
56%
3rd Down Conversions
9
9
3rd Down Attempts
16
16
Red Zone %
100%
20%
Red Zone Conversions
1
1
Red Zone Attempts
1
5
Negative Plays
Turnovers
4
0
Interceptions
2
0
Fumbles
2
0
Turnover EPA
-7.07
--
Sacks
1
1
Sack Yards
-8
-4
Sack EPA
-2.21
-1.06
Penalties
5
1
Penalty Yards
29
--
Penalty EPA
-4.85
--
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
BUFBillsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Bills Offense vs Jaguars Defense
Total
Points / Game
30
11
Yards / Game
30
13
Passing Yards / Game
32
26
Rushing Yards / Game
16
11
EPA
EPA / Play
24
18
EPA / Pass
31
19
EPA / Rush
16
23
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
3
18
Interceptions / Game
6
4
Fumbles / Game
8
12
Turnover EPA / Game
27
18
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
30
21
4th Down Efficiency
16
14
RZ Efficiency
30
24
Jaguars Offense vs Bills Defense
Total
Points / Game
5
18
Yards / Game
8
31
Passing Yards / Game
20
18
Rushing Yards / Game
2
25
EPA
EPA / Play
4
27
EPA / Pass
4
28
EPA / Rush
1
19
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
26
23
Interceptions / Game
2
8
Fumbles / Game
7
18
Turnover EPA / Game
30
21
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
6
29
4th Down Efficiency
8
10
RZ Efficiency
9
4
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Bills
5-5
SU
7-3
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Jaguars
7-3
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U