BUFBills
2-4
13
TBD
Giants Stadium
56°F
16 mph
3
NYJJets
1-6
TBD
Giants Stadium
56°F
16 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Bills
3
0
0
10
13
Jets
0
3
0
0
3
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
347
254
Total Plays
62
58
Yards / Play
5.6
4.4
EPA / Play
-0.00
-0.22
Passing Yards
239
154
Comp/Att
17/26(65%)
18/32(56%)
Yards / Pass
9.2
4.8
EPA / Pass
+0.22
-0.24
Rushing Yards
108
100
Rush Attempts
35
23
Yards / Rush
3.1
4.3
EPA / Rush
-0.13
-0.23
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
19
14
Passing 1st downs
10
10
Rushing 1st downs
8
3
Penalty 1st downs
1
1
3rd Down %
31%
25%
3rd Down Conversions
4
3
3rd Down Attempts
13
12
Red Zone %
0%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
--
--
Red Zone Attempts
2
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
3
Interceptions
1
2
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
-4.05
-7.94
Sacks
1
3
Sack Yards
-4
-19
Sack EPA
-2.42
-4.40
Penalties
7
2
Penalty Yards
50
25
Penalty EPA
-5.91
-1.55
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
BUFBillsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Bills Offense vs Jets Defense
Total
Points / Game
30
19
Yards / Game
30
18
Passing Yards / Game
32
5
Rushing Yards / Game
16
29
EPA
EPA / Play
24
30
EPA / Pass
31
24
EPA / Rush
16
30
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
3
3
Interceptions / Game
6
23
Fumbles / Game
8
32
Turnover EPA / Game
27
5
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
30
24
4th Down Efficiency
16
32
RZ Efficiency
30
26
Jets Offense vs Bills Defense
Total
Points / Game
25
18
Yards / Game
26
31
Passing Yards / Game
11
18
Rushing Yards / Game
18
25
EPA
EPA / Play
18
27
EPA / Pass
25
28
EPA / Rush
14
19
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
8
23
Interceptions / Game
23
8
Fumbles / Game
2
18
Turnover EPA / Game
18
21
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
19
29
4th Down Efficiency
14
10
RZ Efficiency
31
4
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Bills
4-6
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Jets
3-7
SU
3-6-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U