BUFBills
6-6
17
TBD
Gillette Stadium
44°F
15 mph
27
NEPatriots
7-5
TBD
Gillette Stadium
44°F
15 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Bills
0
0
10
7
17
Patriots
17
3
0
7
27
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
390
275
Total Plays
71
53
Yards / Play
5.5
5.2
EPA / Play
-0.08
+0.04
Passing Yards
312
--
Comp/Att
32/51(63%)
15/27(56%)
Yards / Pass
6.1
--
EPA / Pass
-0.18
+0.12
Rushing Yards
78
92
Rush Attempts
18
26
Yards / Rush
4.3
3.5
EPA / Rush
+0.09
+0.10
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
24
14
Passing 1st downs
15
6
Rushing 1st downs
7
7
Penalty 1st downs
2
1
3rd Down %
71%
36%
3rd Down Conversions
10
4
3rd Down Attempts
14
11
Red Zone %
50%
75%
Red Zone Conversions
2
3
Red Zone Attempts
4
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
5
0
Interceptions
4
0
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-26.69
--
Sacks
2
--
Sack Yards
-16
--
Sack EPA
-2.82
--
Penalties
4
9
Penalty Yards
29
65
Penalty EPA
-2.21
-6.59
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
BUFBillsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Bills Offense vs Patriots Defense
Total
Points / Game
12
15
Yards / Game
9
23
Passing Yards / Game
1
7
Rushing Yards / Game
23
31
EPA
EPA / Play
11
19
EPA / Pass
7
8
EPA / Rush
22
31
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
8
23
Interceptions / Game
12
12
Fumbles / Game
21
12
Turnover EPA / Game
5
27
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
10
26
4th Down Efficiency
11
27
RZ Efficiency
15
31
Patriots Offense vs Bills Defense
Total
Points / Game
10
27
Yards / Game
22
14
Passing Yards / Game
21
6
Rushing Yards / Game
28
29
EPA
EPA / Play
10
26
EPA / Pass
18
17
EPA / Rush
16
26
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
12
2
Interceptions / Game
9
26
Fumbles / Game
5
24
Turnover EPA / Game
26
2
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
8
9
4th Down Efficiency
20
11
RZ Efficiency
16
32
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Bills
5-5
SU
5-4-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Patriots
5-5
SU
2-8
ATS
0-0-10
O/U