BUFBills
1-4
6
TBD
M&T Bank Stadium
52°F
3 mph
20
BALRavens
3-2
TBD
M&T Bank Stadium
52°F
3 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Bills
3
0
3
0
6
Ravens
4
7
0
3
14
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
270
160
Total Plays
63
56
Yards / Play
4.3
2.9
EPA / Play
-0.47
-0.31
Passing Yards
185
60
Comp/Att
20/36(56%)
10/19(53%)
Yards / Pass
5.1
3.2
EPA / Pass
-0.73
-0.74
Rushing Yards
85
100
Rush Attempts
23
33
Yards / Rush
3.7
3.0
EPA / Rush
-0.17
-0.15
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
15
12
Passing 1st downs
11
4
Rushing 1st downs
3
7
Penalty 1st downs
1
1
3rd Down %
33%
31%
3rd Down Conversions
5
4
3rd Down Attempts
15
13
Red Zone %
0%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
--
1
Red Zone Attempts
4
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
5
1
Interceptions
4
0
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-29.49
-4.88
Sacks
4
4
Sack Yards
-18
-26
Sack EPA
-6.74
-9.20
Penalties
5
4
Penalty Yards
40
25
Penalty EPA
-3.92
+2.36
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
BUFBillsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Bills Offense vs Ravens Defense
Total
Points / Game
7
5
Yards / Game
25
6
Passing Yards / Game
23
10
Rushing Yards / Game
12
8
EPA
EPA / Play
20
2
EPA / Pass
20
1
EPA / Rush
25
7
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
30
19
Interceptions / Game
17
7
Fumbles / Game
18
5
Turnover EPA / Game
14
32
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
20
8
4th Down Efficiency
19
2
RZ Efficiency
28
2
Ravens Offense vs Bills Defense
Total
Points / Game
20
8
Yards / Game
31
2
Passing Yards / Game
32
5
Rushing Yards / Game
8
6
EPA
EPA / Play
26
1
EPA / Pass
29
2
EPA / Rush
17
2
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
21
13
Interceptions / Game
4
2
Fumbles / Game
11
3
Turnover EPA / Game
26
31
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
22
13
4th Down Efficiency
30
30
RZ Efficiency
20
4
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Bills
3-7
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Ravens
6-4
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U