BUFBills
4-3
13
TBD
M&T Bank Stadium
71°F
8 mph
10
BALRavens
2-3
TBD
M&T Bank Stadium
71°F
8 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Bills
0
3
0
10
13
Ravens
10
0
0
0
10
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
249
200
Total Plays
69
64
Yards / Play
3.6
3.1
EPA / Play
-0.19
-0.29
Passing Yards
119
118
Comp/Att
18/38(47%)
13/34(38%)
Yards / Pass
3.1
3.5
EPA / Pass
-0.37
-0.41
Rushing Yards
111
82
Rush Attempts
29
27
Yards / Rush
3.8
3.0
EPA / Rush
-0.30
-0.26
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
19
12
Passing 1st downs
9
9
Rushing 1st downs
7
3
Penalty 1st downs
3
--
3rd Down %
28%
25%
3rd Down Conversions
5
4
3rd Down Attempts
18
16
Red Zone %
33%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
1
1
Red Zone Attempts
3
1
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
2
Interceptions
3
1
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
-10.06
-8.68
Sacks
3
3
Sack Yards
-17
-11
Sack EPA
-2.28
-2.86
Penalties
7
10
Penalty Yards
50
113
Penalty EPA
-3.43
-13.19
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
BUFBillsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Bills Offense vs Ravens Defense
Total
Points / Game
15
7
Yards / Game
15
2
Passing Yards / Game
23
4
Rushing Yards / Game
7
1
EPA
EPA / Play
12
3
EPA / Pass
9
2
EPA / Rush
18
4
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
13
4
Interceptions / Game
8
10
Fumbles / Game
10
28
Turnover EPA / Game
21
13
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
3
10
4th Down Efficiency
9
19
RZ Efficiency
16
13
Ravens Offense vs Bills Defense
Total
Points / Game
11
3
Yards / Game
22
1
Passing Yards / Game
17
1
Rushing Yards / Game
15
5
EPA
EPA / Play
19
5
EPA / Pass
29
3
EPA / Rush
9
6
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
27
26
Interceptions / Game
22
27
Fumbles / Game
21
23
Turnover EPA / Game
20
6
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
31
2
4th Down Efficiency
29
9
RZ Efficiency
30
5
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Bills
4-3
SU
3-4
ATS
0-0-7
O/U
Ravens
2-3
SU
2-3
ATS
0-0-5
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U