BUFBills
1-2
7
TBD
Alamo Dome
70°F
019
NOSaints
1-2
TBD
Alamo Dome
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Bills
7
0
0
0
7
Saints
0
13
0
6
19
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
208
333
Total Plays
48
68
Yards / Play
4.3
4.9
EPA / Play
-0.19
+0.03
Passing Yards
67
166
Comp/Att
10/21(48%)
15/26(58%)
Yards / Pass
3.2
6.4
EPA / Pass
-0.38
+0.02
Rushing Yards
141
167
Rush Attempts
23
41
Yards / Rush
6.1
4.1
EPA / Rush
-0.03
-0.03
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
13
23
Passing 1st downs
5
8
Rushing 1st downs
6
11
Penalty 1st downs
2
4
3rd Down %
36%
47%
3rd Down Conversions
4
7
3rd Down Attempts
11
15
Red Zone %
100%
20%
Red Zone Conversions
1
1
Red Zone Attempts
1
5
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
0
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-5.61
--
Sacks
4
1
Sack Yards
-36
-6
Sack EPA
-5.97
-1.19
Penalties
12
4
Penalty Yards
79
26
Penalty EPA
-6.25
-3.62
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
BUFBillsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Bills Offense vs Saints Defense
Total
Points / Game
24
28
Yards / Game
29
15
Passing Yards / Game
22
3
Rushing Yards / Game
21
27
EPA
EPA / Play
17
28
EPA / Pass
21
27
EPA / Rush
23
27
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
20
13
Interceptions / Game
17
27
Fumbles / Game
8
23
Turnover EPA / Game
22
2
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
21
26
4th Down Efficiency
24
31
RZ Efficiency
30
12
Saints Offense vs Bills Defense
Total
Points / Game
31
24
Yards / Game
20
29
Passing Yards / Game
5
27
Rushing Yards / Game
18
30
EPA
EPA / Play
30
30
EPA / Pass
25
26
EPA / Rush
26
32
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
2
12
Interceptions / Game
30
11
Fumbles / Game
30
9
Turnover EPA / Game
2
21
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
18
32
4th Down Efficiency
32
23
RZ Efficiency
27
32
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Bills
7-3
SU
7-3
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Saints
5-5
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U