BUFBills
4-6
38
TBD
Lumen Field
41°F
3 mph
9
SEASeahawks
6-4
TBD
Lumen Field
41°F
3 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Bills
7
10
7
14
38
Seahawks
0
3
0
6
9
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
434
230
Total Plays
76
58
Yards / Play
5.7
4.0
EPA / Play
+0.27
-0.22
Passing Yards
286
175
Comp/Att
26/38(68%)
19/39(49%)
Yards / Pass
7.5
4.5
EPA / Pass
+0.30
-0.17
Rushing Yards
148
55
Rush Attempts
37
17
Yards / Rush
4.0
3.2
EPA / Rush
+0.07
-0.33
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
25
17
Passing 1st downs
16
13
Rushing 1st downs
8
2
Penalty 1st downs
1
2
3rd Down %
60%
33%
3rd Down Conversions
9
3
3rd Down Attempts
15
9
Red Zone %
67%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
4
1
Red Zone Attempts
6
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
2
Interceptions
3
1
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
-10.34
-7.91
Sacks
1
2
Sack Yards
-6
-10
Sack EPA
-1.87
-6.67
Penalties
6
7
Penalty Yards
44
64
Penalty EPA
-5.22
-4.70
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
BUFBillsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Bills Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Total
Points / Game
7
22
Yards / Game
25
26
Passing Yards / Game
23
22
Rushing Yards / Game
12
22
EPA
EPA / Play
20
22
EPA / Pass
20
16
EPA / Rush
25
28
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
30
20
Interceptions / Game
17
4
Fumbles / Game
18
14
Turnover EPA / Game
14
26
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
20
29
4th Down Efficiency
19
26
RZ Efficiency
28
23
Seahawks Offense vs Bills Defense
Total
Points / Game
12
8
Yards / Game
7
2
Passing Yards / Game
9
5
Rushing Yards / Game
9
6
EPA
EPA / Play
11
1
EPA / Pass
10
2
EPA / Rush
12
2
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
20
13
Interceptions / Game
20
2
Fumbles / Game
6
3
Turnover EPA / Game
22
31
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
18
13
4th Down Efficiency
20
30
RZ Efficiency
10
4
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Bills
4-6
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Seahawks
6-4
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U