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  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. bills @ seahawks week 12, 2004

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

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BUF logo
BUFBills
4-6
38
TBD
Lumen Field
41°F
3 mph
9
SEASeahawks
6-4
SEA logo
TBD
Lumen Field
41°F
3 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Bills
7
10
7
14
38
Seahawks
0
3
0
6
9

Game Statistics

General
Bills logo
Seahawks logo
Total Yards
434
230
Total Plays
76
58
Yards / Play
5.7
4.0
EPA / Play
+0.27
-0.22
Passing Yards
286
175
Comp/Att
26/38(68%)
19/39(49%)
Yards / Pass
7.5
4.5
EPA / Pass
+0.30
-0.17
Rushing Yards
148
55
Rush Attempts
37
17
Yards / Rush
4.0
3.2
EPA / Rush
+0.07
-0.33
Downs & Conversions
Bills logo
Seahawks logo
1st Downs
25
17
Passing 1st downs
16
13
Rushing 1st downs
8
2
Penalty 1st downs
1
2
3rd Down %
60%
33%
3rd Down Conversions
9
3
3rd Down Attempts
15
9
Red Zone %
67%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
4
1
Red Zone Attempts
6
2
Negative Plays
Bills logo
Seahawks logo
Turnovers
3
2
Interceptions
3
1
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
-10.34
-7.91
Sacks
1
2
Sack Yards
-6
-10
Sack EPA
-1.87
-6.67
Penalties
6
7
Penalty Yards
44
64
Penalty EPA
-5.22
-4.70

Preview data is limited for games before 2009

Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.

Model

Projected Winner
BUF logo
BUFBillsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A

Win Probability

MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--

Quarterbacks

Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available

Team Matchup Ranks

Bills Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Bills logo
Seahawks logo

Total

Points / Game
7
22
Yards / Game
25
26
Passing Yards / Game
23
22
Rushing Yards / Game
12
22

EPA

EPA / Play
20
22
EPA / Pass
20
16
EPA / Rush
25
28

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
30
20
Interceptions / Game
17
4
Fumbles / Game
18
14
Turnover EPA / Game
14
26

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
20
29
4th Down Efficiency
19
26
RZ Efficiency
28
23
Seahawks Offense vs Bills Defense
Seahawks logo
Bills logo

Total

Points / Game
12
8
Yards / Game
7
2
Passing Yards / Game
9
5
Rushing Yards / Game
9
6

EPA

EPA / Play
11
1
EPA / Pass
10
2
EPA / Rush
12
2

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
20
13
Interceptions / Game
20
2
Fumbles / Game
6
3
Turnover EPA / Game
22
31

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
18
13
4th Down Efficiency
20
30
RZ Efficiency
10
4

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

BUF logo

Bills

4-6
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
09/12
-3
L
L
P
09/19
-3
L
W
P
10/03
-14
L
L
P
10/10
-2
L
W
P
10/17
7
W
W
P
10/24
-14
L
L
P
10/31
24
W
W
P
11/07
5
W
W
P
11/14
-23
L
L
P
11/21
20
W
W
P
SEA logo

Seahawks

6-4
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
09/12
14
W
W
P
09/19
4
W
W
P
09/26
34
W
W
P
10/10
-6
L
L
P
10/17
-10
L
L
P
10/24
-8
L
L
P
10/31
6
W
L
P
11/07
15
W
W
P
11/14
-11
L
L
P
11/21
7
W
L
P