BUFBills
0-1
3
TBD
Acrisure Stadium
59°F
4 mph
26
PITSteelers
1-0
TBD
Acrisure Stadium
59°F
4 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Bills
0
0
3
0
3
Steelers
3
9
7
7
26
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
223
420
Total Plays
51
68
Yards / Play
4.4
6.2
EPA / Play
-0.16
+0.22
Passing Yards
121
236
Comp/Att
15/25(60%)
21/34(62%)
Yards / Pass
4.8
6.9
EPA / Pass
-0.46
+0.19
Rushing Yards
102
184
Rush Attempts
22
33
Yards / Rush
4.6
5.6
EPA / Rush
-0.11
+0.14
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
10
24
Passing 1st downs
6
12
Rushing 1st downs
4
11
Penalty 1st downs
--
1
3rd Down %
38%
69%
3rd Down Conversions
5
11
3rd Down Attempts
13
16
Red Zone %
0%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
--
2
Red Zone Attempts
1
6
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
1
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
-3.07
Sacks
4
1
Sack Yards
-33
-6
Sack EPA
-8.75
-1.49
Penalties
5
2
Penalty Yards
55
--
Penalty EPA
-3.06
--
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
BUFBillsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Bills Offense vs Steelers Defense
Total
Points / Game
30
5
Yards / Game
30
1
Passing Yards / Game
32
2
Rushing Yards / Game
16
5
EPA
EPA / Play
24
9
EPA / Pass
31
1
EPA / Rush
16
15
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
3
5
Interceptions / Game
6
29
Fumbles / Game
8
10
Turnover EPA / Game
27
10
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
30
18
4th Down Efficiency
16
5
RZ Efficiency
30
21
Steelers Offense vs Bills Defense
Total
Points / Game
9
18
Yards / Game
16
31
Passing Yards / Game
18
18
Rushing Yards / Game
5
25
EPA
EPA / Play
6
27
EPA / Pass
6
28
EPA / Rush
13
19
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
24
23
Interceptions / Game
13
8
Fumbles / Game
6
18
Turnover EPA / Game
26
21
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
3
29
4th Down Efficiency
10
10
RZ Efficiency
7
4
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Bills
5-5
SU
8-2
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Steelers
7-3
SU
6-3-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U