BUFBills
3-6
24
TBD
NRG Stadium
70°F
021
HOUTexans
3-6
TBD
NRG Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Bills
14
3
0
7
24
Texans
7
7
1
0
15
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
403
397
Total Plays
61
59
Yards / Play
6.6
6.7
EPA / Play
+0.11
+0.03
Passing Yards
333
209
Comp/Att
26/38(68%)
25/30(83%)
Yards / Pass
8.8
7.0
EPA / Pass
+0.32
-0.09
Rushing Yards
70
188
Rush Attempts
21
27
Yards / Rush
3.3
7.0
EPA / Rush
-0.15
+0.30
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
17
20
Passing 1st downs
12
11
Rushing 1st downs
4
9
Penalty 1st downs
1
--
3rd Down %
29%
46%
3rd Down Conversions
4
6
3rd Down Attempts
14
13
Red Zone %
100%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
1
2
Red Zone Attempts
1
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
2
Interceptions
1
1
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
-5.05
-7.66
Sacks
2
2
Sack Yards
-7
-14
Sack EPA
-4.11
-2.53
Penalties
3
5
Penalty Yards
--
40
Penalty EPA
--
-4.16
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
BUFBillsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Bills Offense vs Texans Defense
Total
Points / Game
23
25
Yards / Game
30
24
Passing Yards / Game
20
23
Rushing Yards / Game
27
19
EPA
EPA / Play
21
28
EPA / Pass
18
26
EPA / Rush
25
24
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
19
10
Interceptions / Game
11
28
Fumbles / Game
28
19
Turnover EPA / Game
16
10
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
31
30
4th Down Efficiency
20
11
RZ Efficiency
25
18
Texans Offense vs Bills Defense
Total
Points / Game
28
9
Yards / Game
28
18
Passing Yards / Game
23
6
Rushing Yards / Game
21
27
EPA
EPA / Play
23
10
EPA / Pass
22
9
EPA / Rush
12
29
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
5
6
Interceptions / Game
7
24
Fumbles / Game
17
25
Turnover EPA / Game
14
16
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
14
12
4th Down Efficiency
5
28
RZ Efficiency
8
20
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Bills
3-7
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Texans
3-7
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U