DENBroncos
5-5
34
TBD
Soldier Field
39°F
13 mph
37
CHIBears
4-6
TBD
Soldier Field
39°F
13 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
OT
Total
Broncos
3
10
14
7
0
34
Bears
3
3
8
14
3
31
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
430
293
Total Plays
70
68
Yards / Play
6.1
4.3
EPA / Play
-0.01
-0.04
Passing Yards
292
171
Comp/Att
17/31(55%)
17/33(52%)
Yards / Pass
9.4
5.2
EPA / Pass
+0.31
-0.24
Rushing Yards
138
122
Rush Attempts
37
32
Yards / Rush
3.7
3.8
EPA / Rush
-0.21
-0.19
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
22
18
Passing 1st downs
12
10
Rushing 1st downs
9
6
Penalty 1st downs
1
2
3rd Down %
8%
27%
3rd Down Conversions
1
4
3rd Down Attempts
12
15
Red Zone %
60%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
3
2
Red Zone Attempts
5
6
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
3
Interceptions
1
1
Fumbles
2
2
Turnover EPA
-4.58
-10.09
Sacks
2
3
Sack Yards
-10
-22
Sack EPA
-1.99
-7.82
Penalties
5
5
Penalty Yards
28
50
Penalty EPA
-3.05
-6.16
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
DENBroncosFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Broncos Offense vs Bears Defense
Total
Points / Game
21
17
Yards / Game
10
28
Passing Yards / Game
3
30
Rushing Yards / Game
8
24
EPA
EPA / Play
15
5
EPA / Pass
11
14
EPA / Rush
10
13
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
16
9
Interceptions / Game
9
18
Fumbles / Game
24
1
Turnover EPA / Game
14
25
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
14
2
4th Down Efficiency
30
29
RZ Efficiency
21
14
Bears Offense vs Broncos Defense
Total
Points / Game
18
28
Yards / Game
27
19
Passing Yards / Game
6
4
Rushing Yards / Game
30
30
EPA
EPA / Play
26
31
EPA / Pass
26
31
EPA / Rush
30
27
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
28
17
Interceptions / Game
28
24
Fumbles / Game
15
3
Turnover EPA / Game
15
11
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
28
26
4th Down Efficiency
18
31
RZ Efficiency
27
23
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Broncos
5-5
SU
3-7
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Bears
4-6
SU
3-7
ATS
0-0-10
O/U