DENBroncos
5-1
10
TBD
Paycor Stadium
61°F
7 mph
23
CINBengals
1-4
TBD
Paycor Stadium
61°F
7 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Broncos
0
7
3
0
10
Bengals
7
6
7
3
23
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
318
321
Total Plays
69
55
Yards / Play
4.6
5.8
EPA / Play
-0.19
-0.03
Passing Yards
195
188
Comp/Att
23/40(57%)
12/21(57%)
Yards / Pass
4.9
9.0
EPA / Pass
-0.20
+0.02
Rushing Yards
123
133
Rush Attempts
26
33
Yards / Rush
4.7
4.0
EPA / Rush
+0.04
-0.26
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
22
13
Passing 1st downs
10
6
Rushing 1st downs
8
6
Penalty 1st downs
4
1
3rd Down %
40%
23%
3rd Down Conversions
6
3
3rd Down Attempts
15
13
Red Zone %
50%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
1
--
Red Zone Attempts
2
5
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
1
Interceptions
2
1
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-10.31
-2.84
Sacks
3
1
Sack Yards
-26
-10
Sack EPA
-5.69
-2.33
Penalties
8
9
Penalty Yards
88
65
Penalty EPA
-7.51
-8.08
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
DENBroncosFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Broncos Offense vs Bengals Defense
Total
Points / Game
9
21
Yards / Game
4
17
Passing Yards / Game
31
26
Rushing Yards / Game
5
25
EPA
EPA / Play
8
10
EPA / Pass
8
9
EPA / Rush
11
15
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
13
26
Interceptions / Game
24
8
Fumbles / Game
3
6
Turnover EPA / Game
13
27
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
15
15
4th Down Efficiency
11
6
RZ Efficiency
29
9
Bengals Offense vs Broncos Defense
Total
Points / Game
10
13
Yards / Game
18
5
Passing Yards / Game
30
23
Rushing Yards / Game
16
4
EPA
EPA / Play
23
18
EPA / Pass
22
13
EPA / Rush
21
10
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
14
30
Interceptions / Game
29
28
Fumbles / Game
21
28
Turnover EPA / Game
6
5
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
11
6
4th Down Efficiency
14
7
RZ Efficiency
19
16
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Broncos
7-3
SU
4-5-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Bengals
3-7
SU
1-8-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U