DENBroncos
2-3
21
TBD
Qualcomm Stadium
68°F
7 mph
7
LACChargers
0-4
TBD
Qualcomm Stadium
68°F
7 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Broncos
7
0
7
7
21
Chargers
0
7
0
0
7
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
304
277
Total Plays
70
67
Yards / Play
4.3
4.1
EPA / Play
-0.07
-0.32
Passing Yards
192
212
Comp/Att
27/39(69%)
18/43(42%)
Yards / Pass
4.9
4.9
EPA / Pass
+0.07
-0.43
Rushing Yards
96
65
Rush Attempts
30
20
Yards / Rush
3.2
3.3
EPA / Rush
-0.19
-0.24
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
18
17
Passing 1st downs
13
11
Rushing 1st downs
2
3
Penalty 1st downs
3
3
3rd Down %
39%
20%
3rd Down Conversions
7
3
3rd Down Attempts
18
15
Red Zone %
100%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
3
--
Red Zone Attempts
3
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
3
Interceptions
0
3
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
-10.68
Sacks
2
4
Sack Yards
-27
-25
Sack EPA
-4.14
-5.00
Penalties
9
6
Penalty Yards
113
57
Penalty EPA
-9.66
-1.86
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
DENBroncosFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Broncos Offense vs Chargers Defense
Total
Points / Game
2
30
Yards / Game
2
12
Passing Yards / Game
2
20
Rushing Yards / Game
4
4
EPA
EPA / Play
6
14
EPA / Pass
6
18
EPA / Rush
5
3
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
22
7
Interceptions / Game
4
17
Fumbles / Game
15
29
Turnover EPA / Game
19
12
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
4
15
4th Down Efficiency
12
19
RZ Efficiency
9
16
Chargers Offense vs Broncos Defense
Total
Points / Game
24
21
Yards / Game
28
21
Passing Yards / Game
7
23
Rushing Yards / Game
31
8
EPA
EPA / Play
30
18
EPA / Pass
25
15
EPA / Rush
31
17
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
15
23
Interceptions / Game
31
2
Fumbles / Game
30
8
Turnover EPA / Game
1
29
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
26
6
4th Down Efficiency
30
9
RZ Efficiency
26
9
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Broncos
4-6
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Chargers
4-6
SU
7-3
ATS
0-0-10
O/U