DENBroncos
6-8
3
TBD
Qualcomm Stadium
62°F
8 mph
23
LACChargers
9-5
TBD
Qualcomm Stadium
62°F
8 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Broncos
0
0
3
0
3
Chargers
10
6
7
0
23
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
225
334
Total Plays
55
68
Yards / Play
4.1
4.9
EPA / Play
-0.32
+0.03
Passing Yards
133
187
Comp/Att
14/32(44%)
18/28(64%)
Yards / Pass
4.2
6.7
EPA / Pass
-0.48
+0.16
Rushing Yards
92
147
Rush Attempts
19
38
Yards / Rush
4.8
3.9
EPA / Rush
-0.15
-0.09
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
12
18
Passing 1st downs
8
11
Rushing 1st downs
3
6
Penalty 1st downs
1
1
3rd Down %
29%
47%
3rd Down Conversions
4
7
3rd Down Attempts
14
15
Red Zone %
0%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
--
2
Red Zone Attempts
3
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
1
Interceptions
2
0
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-9.14
-4.87
Sacks
4
2
Sack Yards
-22
-3
Sack EPA
-9.60
-2.83
Penalties
4
6
Penalty Yards
40
42
Penalty EPA
-4.39
-0.98
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
DENBroncosFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Broncos Offense vs Chargers Defense
Total
Points / Game
21
4
Yards / Game
10
14
Passing Yards / Game
3
16
Rushing Yards / Game
8
15
EPA
EPA / Play
15
1
EPA / Pass
11
4
EPA / Rush
10
11
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
16
27
Interceptions / Game
9
1
Fumbles / Game
24
7
Turnover EPA / Game
14
32
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
14
19
4th Down Efficiency
30
6
RZ Efficiency
21
13
Chargers Offense vs Broncos Defense
Total
Points / Game
10
28
Yards / Game
20
19
Passing Yards / Game
31
4
Rushing Yards / Game
9
30
EPA
EPA / Play
12
31
EPA / Pass
8
31
EPA / Rush
18
27
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
27
17
Interceptions / Game
17
24
Fumbles / Game
5
3
Turnover EPA / Game
21
11
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
15
26
4th Down Efficiency
6
31
RZ Efficiency
15
23
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Broncos
4-6
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Chargers
8-2
SU
8-2
ATS
0-0-10
O/U