DENBroncos
12-3
23
TBD
Qualcomm Stadium
61°F
8 mph
7
LACChargers
9-6
TBD
Qualcomm Stadium
61°F
8 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Broncos
0
14
0
7
21
Chargers
0
7
0
0
7
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
241
236
Total Plays
64
62
Yards / Play
3.8
3.8
EPA / Play
+0.01
-0.29
Passing Yards
84
145
Comp/Att
10/22(45%)
20/36(56%)
Yards / Pass
3.8
4.0
EPA / Pass
-0.30
-0.58
Rushing Yards
157
91
Rush Attempts
40
20
Yards / Rush
3.9
4.5
EPA / Rush
+0.17
+0.01
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
17
15
Passing 1st downs
5
9
Rushing 1st downs
12
4
Penalty 1st downs
--
2
3rd Down %
21%
14%
3rd Down Conversions
3
2
3rd Down Attempts
14
14
Red Zone %
75%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
3
1
Red Zone Attempts
4
1
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
2
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
--
-9.57
Sacks
2
6
Sack Yards
-14
-38
Sack EPA
-3.02
-13.35
Penalties
4
8
Penalty Yards
22
70
Penalty EPA
-4.19
-8.99
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
DENBroncosFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Broncos Offense vs Chargers Defense
Total
Points / Game
8
13
Yards / Game
5
13
Passing Yards / Game
13
31
Rushing Yards / Game
3
1
EPA
EPA / Play
6
20
EPA / Pass
9
24
EPA / Rush
2
7
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
3
21
Interceptions / Game
2
27
Fumbles / Game
15
16
Turnover EPA / Game
31
6
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
23
14
4th Down Efficiency
2
18
RZ Efficiency
6
19
Chargers Offense vs Broncos Defense
Total
Points / Game
3
6
Yards / Game
10
19
Passing Yards / Game
16
4
Rushing Yards / Game
8
2
EPA
EPA / Play
4
13
EPA / Pass
7
15
EPA / Rush
1
15
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
29
30
Interceptions / Game
17
6
Fumbles / Game
8
4
Turnover EPA / Game
20
30
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
5
16
4th Down Efficiency
5
18
RZ Efficiency
1
28
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Broncos
8-2
SU
8-2
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Chargers
7-3
SU
7-3
ATS
0-0-10
O/U