DENBroncos
4-2
37
TBD
GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
51°F
3 mph
34
KCChiefs
3-3
TBD
GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
51°F
3 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
OT
Total
Broncos
3
3
14
14
3
37
Chiefs
7
6
14
7
0
34
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
507
305
Total Plays
78
68
Yards / Play
6.5
4.5
EPA / Play
+0.17
+0.10
Passing Yards
366
143
Comp/Att
30/50(60%)
20/33(61%)
Yards / Pass
7.3
4.3
EPA / Pass
+0.20
-0.30
Rushing Yards
141
162
Rush Attempts
27
31
Yards / Rush
5.2
5.2
EPA / Rush
+0.29
+0.38
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
22
24
Passing 1st downs
12
8
Rushing 1st downs
9
14
Penalty 1st downs
1
2
3rd Down %
33%
31%
3rd Down Conversions
5
4
3rd Down Attempts
15
13
Red Zone %
40%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
2
4
Red Zone Attempts
5
6
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
0
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-3.79
--
Sacks
1
4
Sack Yards
-10
-29
Sack EPA
-1.83
-7.70
Penalties
8
5
Penalty Yards
75
50
Penalty EPA
-10.90
-0.69
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
DENBroncosFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Broncos Offense vs Chiefs Defense
Total
Points / Game
6
28
Yards / Game
3
32
Passing Yards / Game
3
31
Rushing Yards / Game
5
25
EPA
EPA / Play
4
31
EPA / Pass
9
27
EPA / Rush
4
32
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
23
25
Interceptions / Game
23
12
Fumbles / Game
5
12
Turnover EPA / Game
14
19
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
22
24
4th Down Efficiency
4
23
RZ Efficiency
7
15
Chiefs Offense vs Broncos Defense
Total
Points / Game
1
14
Yards / Game
4
6
Passing Yards / Game
15
22
Rushing Yards / Game
3
4
EPA
EPA / Play
1
22
EPA / Pass
1
20
EPA / Rush
1
24
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
12
5
Interceptions / Game
7
30
Fumbles / Game
1
17
Turnover EPA / Game
32
8
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
11
28
4th Down Efficiency
8
15
RZ Efficiency
1
30
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Broncos
6-4
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Chiefs
6-4
SU
8-2
ATS
0-0-10
O/U