DENBroncos
3-5
27
TBD
GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
69°F
15 mph
11
KCChiefs
4-4
TBD
GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
69°F
15 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Broncos
3
3
8
7
21
Chiefs
3
3
3
0
9
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
327
284
Total Plays
61
71
Yards / Play
5.4
4.0
EPA / Play
+0.06
-0.23
Passing Yards
186
217
Comp/Att
17/31(55%)
23/45(51%)
Yards / Pass
6.0
4.8
EPA / Pass
-0.06
-0.42
Rushing Yards
141
67
Rush Attempts
29
22
Yards / Rush
4.9
3.0
EPA / Rush
+0.07
-0.18
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
18
19
Passing 1st downs
9
16
Rushing 1st downs
7
2
Penalty 1st downs
2
1
3rd Down %
38%
38%
3rd Down Conversions
5
6
3rd Down Attempts
13
16
Red Zone %
100%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
1
--
Red Zone Attempts
1
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
4
Interceptions
1
3
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
-4.78
-16.07
Sacks
1
4
Sack Yards
-6
-28
Sack EPA
-1.25
-13.54
Penalties
12
4
Penalty Yards
64
20
Penalty EPA
-7.91
-4.04
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
DENBroncosFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Broncos Offense vs Chiefs Defense
Total
Points / Game
21
15
Yards / Game
10
12
Passing Yards / Game
3
22
Rushing Yards / Game
8
28
EPA
EPA / Play
15
14
EPA / Pass
11
10
EPA / Rush
10
20
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
16
1
Interceptions / Game
9
24
Fumbles / Game
24
18
Turnover EPA / Game
14
3
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
14
1
4th Down Efficiency
30
1
RZ Efficiency
21
1
Chiefs Offense vs Broncos Defense
Total
Points / Game
31
28
Yards / Game
31
19
Passing Yards / Game
12
4
Rushing Yards / Game
32
30
EPA
EPA / Play
30
31
EPA / Pass
28
31
EPA / Rush
29
27
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
22
17
Interceptions / Game
24
24
Fumbles / Game
15
3
Turnover EPA / Game
13
11
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
27
26
4th Down Efficiency
3
31
RZ Efficiency
23
23
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Broncos
4-6
SU
1-9
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Chiefs
5-5
SU
5-4-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U