DENBroncos
9-2
27
TBD
GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
28°F
8 mph
31
KCChiefs
7-4
TBD
GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
28°F
8 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Broncos
7
14
3
3
27
Chiefs
7
14
3
7
31
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
388
421
Total Plays
60
60
Yards / Play
6.5
7.0
EPA / Play
+0.20
+0.22
Passing Yards
257
--
Comp/Att
18/29(62%)
16/23(70%)
Yards / Pass
8.9
--
EPA / Pass
+0.15
+0.25
Rushing Yards
131
168
Rush Attempts
29
37
Yards / Rush
4.5
4.5
EPA / Rush
+0.09
+0.10
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
19
24
Passing 1st downs
8
11
Rushing 1st downs
11
11
Penalty 1st downs
--
2
3rd Down %
30%
56%
3rd Down Conversions
3
5
3rd Down Attempts
10
9
Red Zone %
50%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
2
2
Red Zone Attempts
4
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
3
Interceptions
2
2
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
-8.52
-10.97
Sacks
2
--
Sack Yards
-19
--
Sack EPA
-3.35
--
Penalties
8
6
Penalty Yards
55
45
Penalty EPA
-4.40
-5.26
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
DENBroncosFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Broncos Offense vs Chiefs Defense
Total
Points / Game
8
16
Yards / Game
5
26
Passing Yards / Game
13
30
Rushing Yards / Game
3
8
EPA
EPA / Play
6
27
EPA / Pass
9
28
EPA / Rush
2
9
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
3
17
Interceptions / Game
2
14
Fumbles / Game
15
9
Turnover EPA / Game
31
23
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
23
15
4th Down Efficiency
2
10
RZ Efficiency
6
6
Chiefs Offense vs Broncos Defense
Total
Points / Game
5
6
Yards / Game
1
19
Passing Yards / Game
6
4
Rushing Yards / Game
4
2
EPA
EPA / Play
2
13
EPA / Pass
6
15
EPA / Rush
3
15
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
4
30
Interceptions / Game
3
6
Fumbles / Game
23
4
Turnover EPA / Game
23
30
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
4
16
4th Down Efficiency
6
18
RZ Efficiency
14
28
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Broncos
9-1
SU
8-1-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Chiefs
6-4
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U