DENBroncos
7-6
23
TBD
GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
49°F
026
KCChiefs
3-9
TBD
GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
49°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
OT
Total
Broncos
0
10
7
6
0
23
Chiefs
10
3
7
3
3
26
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
335
396
Total Plays
70
59
Yards / Play
4.8
6.7
EPA / Play
+0.06
+0.08
Passing Yards
241
259
Comp/Att
23/34(68%)
17/21(81%)
Yards / Pass
7.1
12.3
EPA / Pass
+0.23
+0.51
Rushing Yards
94
137
Rush Attempts
34
33
Yards / Rush
2.8
4.2
EPA / Rush
-0.20
-0.16
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
22
22
Passing 1st downs
15
11
Rushing 1st downs
6
8
Penalty 1st downs
1
3
3rd Down %
44%
44%
3rd Down Conversions
7
4
3rd Down Attempts
16
9
Red Zone %
50%
20%
Red Zone Conversions
2
1
Red Zone Attempts
4
5
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
3
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
1
2
Turnover EPA
-5.35
-9.15
Sacks
2
5
Sack Yards
-13
-33
Sack EPA
-2.48
-6.86
Penalties
8
9
Penalty Yards
146
68
Penalty EPA
-9.61
-5.93
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
DENBroncosFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Broncos Offense vs Chiefs Defense
Total
Points / Game
9
23
Yards / Game
22
22
Passing Yards / Game
24
8
Rushing Yards / Game
10
27
EPA
EPA / Play
14
21
EPA / Pass
18
20
EPA / Rush
11
16
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
15
15
Interceptions / Game
18
25
Fumbles / Game
8
12
Turnover EPA / Game
18
8
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
14
22
4th Down Efficiency
20
30
RZ Efficiency
8
6
Chiefs Offense vs Broncos Defense
Total
Points / Game
15
21
Yards / Game
4
8
Passing Yards / Game
2
6
Rushing Yards / Game
5
6
EPA
EPA / Play
4
18
EPA / Pass
17
19
EPA / Rush
1
7
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
6
12
Interceptions / Game
29
8
Fumbles / Game
5
12
Turnover EPA / Game
14
24
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
18
6
4th Down Efficiency
23
13
RZ Efficiency
19
11
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Broncos
5-5
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Chiefs
3-7
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U