DENBroncos
8-5
17
TBD
GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
15°F
10 mph
45
KCChiefs
5-8
TBD
GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
15°F
10 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Broncos
7
3
0
7
17
Chiefs
14
14
7
10
45
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
402
410
Total Plays
67
62
Yards / Play
6.0
6.6
EPA / Play
+0.03
+0.47
Passing Yards
270
248
Comp/Att
23/41(56%)
17/23(74%)
Yards / Pass
6.6
10.8
EPA / Pass
-0.17
+0.71
Rushing Yards
132
162
Rush Attempts
20
36
Yards / Rush
6.6
4.5
EPA / Rush
+0.34
+0.00
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
24
22
Passing 1st downs
11
14
Rushing 1st downs
9
5
Penalty 1st downs
4
3
3rd Down %
36%
40%
3rd Down Conversions
4
4
3rd Down Attempts
11
10
Red Zone %
67%
75%
Red Zone Conversions
2
3
Red Zone Attempts
3
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
0
Interceptions
2
0
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-8.50
--
Sacks
6
3
Sack Yards
-22
-18
Sack EPA
-7.64
-4.05
Penalties
10
6
Penalty Yards
100
58
Penalty EPA
-11.03
-8.83
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
DENBroncosFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Broncos Offense vs Chiefs Defense
Total
Points / Game
9
29
Yards / Game
4
31
Passing Yards / Game
31
31
Rushing Yards / Game
5
13
EPA
EPA / Play
8
32
EPA / Pass
8
31
EPA / Rush
11
32
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
13
23
Interceptions / Game
24
25
Fumbles / Game
3
30
Turnover EPA / Game
13
4
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
15
19
4th Down Efficiency
11
5
RZ Efficiency
29
28
Chiefs Offense vs Broncos Defense
Total
Points / Game
2
13
Yards / Game
1
5
Passing Yards / Game
8
23
Rushing Yards / Game
4
4
EPA
EPA / Play
2
18
EPA / Pass
4
13
EPA / Rush
1
10
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
23
30
Interceptions / Game
17
28
Fumbles / Game
11
28
Turnover EPA / Game
24
5
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
2
6
4th Down Efficiency
29
7
RZ Efficiency
1
16
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Broncos
6-4
SU
3-5-2
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Chiefs
5-5
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U