DENBroncos
2-1
20
TBD
RCA Dome
70°F
038
INDColts
3-0
TBD
RCA Dome
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Broncos
10
3
7
0
20
Colts
0
14
14
10
38
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
354
419
Total Plays
58
64
Yards / Play
6.1
6.5
EPA / Play
+0.17
+0.41
Passing Yards
131
--
Comp/Att
13/21(62%)
20/27(74%)
Yards / Pass
6.2
--
EPA / Pass
+0.05
+0.41
Rushing Yards
223
226
Rush Attempts
36
37
Yards / Rush
6.2
6.1
EPA / Rush
+0.22
+0.34
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
22
30
Passing 1st downs
10
11
Rushing 1st downs
12
18
Penalty 1st downs
--
1
3rd Down %
60%
60%
3rd Down Conversions
6
6
3rd Down Attempts
10
10
Red Zone %
50%
83%
Red Zone Conversions
2
5
Red Zone Attempts
4
6
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
0
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-5.95
--
Sacks
1
--
Sack Yards
--
--
Sack EPA
-1.72
--
Penalties
4
2
Penalty Yards
32
10
Penalty EPA
-1.76
-1.11
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
DENBroncosFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Broncos Offense vs Colts Defense
Total
Points / Game
21
2
Yards / Game
10
3
Passing Yards / Game
3
3
Rushing Yards / Game
8
14
EPA
EPA / Play
15
10
EPA / Pass
11
7
EPA / Rush
10
18
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
16
28
Interceptions / Game
9
2
Fumbles / Game
24
13
Turnover EPA / Game
14
28
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
14
31
4th Down Efficiency
30
23
RZ Efficiency
21
22
Colts Offense vs Broncos Defense
Total
Points / Game
2
28
Yards / Game
3
19
Passing Yards / Game
23
4
Rushing Yards / Game
20
30
EPA
EPA / Play
2
31
EPA / Pass
3
31
EPA / Rush
4
27
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
5
17
Interceptions / Game
11
24
Fumbles / Game
4
3
Turnover EPA / Game
31
11
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
2
26
4th Down Efficiency
10
31
RZ Efficiency
10
23
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Broncos
4-6
SU
1-9
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Colts
9-1
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U