DENBroncos
8-7
10
TBD
RCA Dome
70°F
029
INDColts
5-10
TBD
RCA Dome
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Broncos
0
7
3
0
10
Colts
9
10
3
7
29
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
219
335
Total Plays
62
66
Yards / Play
3.5
5.1
EPA / Play
-0.28
+0.02
Passing Yards
104
184
Comp/Att
16/32(50%)
16/30(53%)
Yards / Pass
3.3
6.1
EPA / Pass
-0.67
+0.09
Rushing Yards
115
151
Rush Attempts
25
35
Yards / Rush
4.6
4.3
EPA / Rush
+0.10
-0.17
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
17
22
Passing 1st downs
8
13
Rushing 1st downs
9
7
Penalty 1st downs
--
2
3rd Down %
42%
43%
3rd Down Conversions
5
6
3rd Down Attempts
12
14
Red Zone %
50%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
1
--
Red Zone Attempts
2
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
4
1
Interceptions
4
1
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-16.39
-3.71
Sacks
5
1
Sack Yards
-47
-7
Sack EPA
-7.36
-1.49
Penalties
2
3
Penalty Yards
--
20
Penalty EPA
--
-1.04
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
DENBroncosFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Broncos Offense vs Colts Defense
Total
Points / Game
9
31
Yards / Game
22
29
Passing Yards / Game
24
11
Rushing Yards / Game
10
25
EPA
EPA / Play
14
31
EPA / Pass
18
28
EPA / Rush
11
26
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
15
22
Interceptions / Game
18
21
Fumbles / Game
8
23
Turnover EPA / Game
18
12
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
14
29
4th Down Efficiency
20
18
RZ Efficiency
8
31
Colts Offense vs Broncos Defense
Total
Points / Game
2
21
Yards / Game
2
8
Passing Yards / Game
6
6
Rushing Yards / Game
7
6
EPA
EPA / Play
7
18
EPA / Pass
9
19
EPA / Rush
7
7
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
17
12
Interceptions / Game
27
8
Fumbles / Game
24
12
Turnover EPA / Game
1
24
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
6
6
4th Down Efficiency
4
13
RZ Efficiency
7
11
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Broncos
5-5
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Colts
3-7
SU
3-7
ATS
0-0-10
O/U