DENBroncos
6-5
10
TBD
Hard Rock Stadium
76°F
6 mph
21
MIADolphins
7-3
TBD
Hard Rock Stadium
76°F
6 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Broncos
0
3
7
0
10
Dolphins
0
0
0
15
15
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
273
218
Total Plays
66
50
Yards / Play
4.1
4.4
EPA / Play
-0.18
-0.04
Passing Yards
126
--
Comp/Att
18/33(55%)
18/28(64%)
Yards / Pass
3.8
--
EPA / Pass
-0.33
+0.07
Rushing Yards
147
42
Rush Attempts
32
22
Yards / Rush
4.6
1.9
EPA / Rush
+0.10
-0.24
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
19
12
Passing 1st downs
10
6
Rushing 1st downs
8
5
Penalty 1st downs
1
1
3rd Down %
43%
33%
3rd Down Conversions
6
4
3rd Down Attempts
14
12
Red Zone %
100%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
1
2
Red Zone Attempts
1
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
1
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-14.48
-3.12
Sacks
1
--
Sack Yards
-9
--
Sack EPA
-1.41
--
Penalties
5
7
Penalty Yards
39
70
Penalty EPA
-3.74
-6.15
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
DENBroncosFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Broncos Offense vs Dolphins Defense
Total
Points / Game
9
10
Yards / Game
22
6
Passing Yards / Game
24
5
Rushing Yards / Game
10
20
EPA
EPA / Play
14
12
EPA / Pass
18
12
EPA / Rush
11
18
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
15
24
Interceptions / Game
18
17
Fumbles / Game
8
9
Turnover EPA / Game
18
16
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
14
14
4th Down Efficiency
20
13
RZ Efficiency
8
28
Dolphins Offense vs Broncos Defense
Total
Points / Game
14
21
Yards / Game
25
8
Passing Yards / Game
26
6
Rushing Yards / Game
25
6
EPA
EPA / Play
13
18
EPA / Pass
12
19
EPA / Rush
13
7
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
12
12
Interceptions / Game
17
8
Fumbles / Game
31
12
Turnover EPA / Game
7
24
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
8
6
4th Down Efficiency
6
13
RZ Efficiency
13
11
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Broncos
5-5
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Dolphins
7-3
SU
7-3
ATS
0-0-10
O/U