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  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. broncos @ giants week 7, 2005

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

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DEN logo
DENBroncos
5-1
23
TBD
Giants Stadium
54°F
17 mph
24
NYGGiants
3-2
NYG logo
TBD
Giants Stadium
54°F
17 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Broncos
6
7
7
3
23
Giants
7
3
0
14
24

Game Statistics

General
Broncos logo
Giants logo
Total Yards
385
311
Total Plays
62
62
Yards / Play
6.2
5.0
EPA / Play
+0.25
+0.19
Passing Yards
--
--
Comp/Att
18/29(62%)
23/42(55%)
Yards / Pass
--
--
EPA / Pass
+0.10
+0.14
Rushing Yards
191
97
Rush Attempts
33
20
Yards / Rush
5.8
4.8
EPA / Rush
+0.32
-0.16
Downs & Conversions
Broncos logo
Giants logo
1st Downs
20
22
Passing 1st downs
9
12
Rushing 1st downs
10
7
Penalty 1st downs
1
3
3rd Down %
38%
50%
3rd Down Conversions
5
5
3rd Down Attempts
13
10
Red Zone %
67%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
2
3
Red Zone Attempts
3
3
Negative Plays
Broncos logo
Giants logo
Turnovers
1
2
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
+0.02
-7.06
Sacks
--
--
Sack Yards
--
--
Sack EPA
--
--
Penalties
6
7
Penalty Yards
53
52
Penalty EPA
-5.66
-6.44

Preview data is limited for games before 2009

Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.

Model

Projected Winner
DEN logo
DENBroncosFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A

Win Probability

MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--

Quarterbacks

Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available

Team Matchup Ranks

Broncos Offense vs Giants Defense
Broncos logo
Giants logo

Total

Points / Game
8
15
Yards / Game
5
25
Passing Yards / Game
13
19
Rushing Yards / Game
3
17

EPA

EPA / Play
6
12
EPA / Pass
9
17
EPA / Rush
2
17

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
3
24
Interceptions / Game
2
14
Fumbles / Game
15
1
Turnover EPA / Game
31
27

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
23
25
4th Down Efficiency
2
18
RZ Efficiency
6
21
Giants Offense vs Broncos Defense
Giants logo
Broncos logo

Total

Points / Game
6
6
Yards / Game
8
19
Passing Yards / Game
10
4
Rushing Yards / Game
6
2

EPA

EPA / Play
10
13
EPA / Pass
14
15
EPA / Rush
7
15

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
25
30
Interceptions / Game
25
6
Fumbles / Game
5
4
Turnover EPA / Game
14
30

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
17
16
4th Down Efficiency
16
18
RZ Efficiency
22
28

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

DEN logo

Broncos

7-3
SU
5-4-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
12/19
-28
L
L
P
12/25
21
W
W
P
01/02
19
W
W
P
01/09
-25
L
L
P
09/11
-24
L
L
P
09/18
3
W
P
P
09/26
20
W
W
P
10/02
13
W
W
P
10/09
2
W
L
P
10/16
8
W
W
P
NYG logo

Giants

4-6
SU
7-3
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
12/05
-24
L
L
P
12/12
-23
L
L
P
12/18
-3
L
W
P
12/26
-1
L
W
P
01/02
4
W
W
P
09/11
23
W
W
P
09/19
17
W
W
P
09/25
-22
L
L
P
10/02
20
W
W
P
10/16
-3
L
W
P